基于模糊小波神经网络的电力负荷预测

Xiaoxia Li, Yanli Zhang, Liya Cai
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引用次数: 1

摘要

针对基于神经网络的预测模型在对非线性序列进行预测时容易陷入局部次强点、训练速度慢等缺陷,在传统神经网络预测模型的基础上,提出了一种基于模糊小波神经网络(FWN)的短期电力负荷预测模型。在Matlab7.0仿真环境下验证了小波神经网络预测模型的预测效果。得到了较好的预测结果,克服了局部陷入次强点的缺陷,同时与基于神经网络的预测模型相比,提高了训练率。计算结果表明,该模型是有效的。
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Electrical Load Forecasting Based on Fuzzy Wavelet Neural Networks
In view of the defects of the prediction model based on neural network, such as when doing prediction of nonlinear sequence, it is likely to fall into local hypo-strong point, and the rate of training is very slow, based on the traditional prediction model using neural network, a novel short-term electrical load prediction model based on fuzzy wavelet neural networks (FWN) is presented in this paper. The prediction effect of wavelet neural network prediction model is proved in Matlab7.0 simulation environment. A better prediction result is gained, and the defect of falling into local hypo-strongpoint is overcome, at the same time, the rate of training is raised compared with the prediction model based on neural network. The calculation result shows that the presented model is effective.
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