克里尼奥眼中的巴西

Fabio Kanczuk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

CHORINHO是一个中等规模的DSGE模型,用于金融部门为投资决策提供信息,它由Smets和Wouters(2007)的小型开放经济版本组成,带有金融加速器机制,适用于巴西数据的估计。边际似然比较表明,该模型优于使用Sims和Zha(1998)先验的贝叶斯向量自回归。该模型用于(i)确定最近减速事件背后的原因,(ii)研究货币贬值的影响,以及(iii)调查货币政策最近是否变得更加强大。
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Brazil Through the Eyes of CHORINHO
CHORINHO, a medium scale DSGE model used in the financial sector to inform investment decisions, consists of a small open economy version of Smets and Wouters (2007) with a financial accelerator mechanism, adapted for estimation with Brazilian data. Marginal likelihood comparisons indicate that the model compares favorably to Bayesian Vector Autoregressions that use Sims and Zha (1998) priors. The model is used to (i) identify the reasons behind recent deceleration episodes, (ii) study the effects of currency depreciation, and (iii) investigate whether monetary policy has recently become more powerful.
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