基于smtn的军用飞机任务准备期瞬时可用性研究

Junliang Li, Ke-nan Teng, Chouzhou Yang, Baogang Li
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引用次数: 3

摘要

军用飞机是一个复杂的可修系统,其瞬时可用性分析是综合后勤保障领域的一个难题。基于任务需求和军用飞机的技术条件,构建了随机维修任务网(SMTN),该网络中活动的维修功能分布类型是不同的。定义了矩生成函数,求解了系统维护分布函数的数值特征。通过将期望和方差代入不同的分布函数,对函数进行验证,选择出符合实际情况的维护函数。并对任务准备阶段的军用飞机可用性进行了仿真。在计算过程中,设计了一种基于蒙特卡罗方法的新算法,提高了计算效率,很好地反映了维修过程的逻辑性、拓扑性和随机性。仿真结果能够真实反映任务准备阶段军用飞机瞬时可用性的波动情况。该方法可广泛应用于复杂可修系统,为装备使用决策提供依据,为保障系统保障效能评价提供定量指标,对综合后勤保障领域“动态”指标研究具有一定的探索价值。
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Research on the SMTN-based instantaneous availability of military aircraft in the mission preparation period
Military aircraft is a complex repairable system, instantaneous availability analysis of it is a difficult problem in the integrated logistics support field. The SMTN (Stochastic Maintenance Task Net) based on mission requirement and technical condition of the military aircraft is constructed, and the maintenance function distribution types of activities in the SMTN are different. The moment generating function is defined, and the numerical characteristics of the system maintenance distribution function are solved. The functions are verified by substituting expectation and variance into different distribution functions, and the maintenance functions that meet the actual situation are selected. And the military aircraft availability in the mission preparation period is simulated. In the calculation process, a new algorithm is designed based on the Monte Carlo method, which can increase calculation efficiency and reflects the logic, topology and randomness of the maintenance process well. The simulation result can truly reflect the fluctuation of the instantaneous availability of military aircraft in the mission preparation period. This method can be applied widely in complex repairable system to provide basis for decision-making of the use of equipment, to provide quantitative indicators for support effectiveness evaluation of support system, and is of certain exploration value on the research of “dynamic” indicator in the integrated logistics support field.
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