{"title":"蒸汽发生器剩余使用寿命预测的数据驱动方法","authors":"Hoang-Phuong Nguyen, W. Fauriat, E. Zio, Jie Liu","doi":"10.1109/ICSRS.2018.8688716","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The reliability of steam generators in nuclear power plants has always been a challenging issue. Various diagnostic models have been proposed in the literature. However, no work has been reported on the development of a robust prediction model for forecasting the future health state of steam generators. In this paper, we propose an ARIMA-based prognostic approach for tracking the degradation evolution in a steam generator and further predicting its Remaining Useful Life (RUL) before breakdown. A case study concerning real degradation datasets from different steam generators is extensively investigated to validate the performance of the proposed model.","PeriodicalId":166131,"journal":{"name":"2018 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Data-Driven Approach for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Steam Generators\",\"authors\":\"Hoang-Phuong Nguyen, W. Fauriat, E. Zio, Jie Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICSRS.2018.8688716\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The reliability of steam generators in nuclear power plants has always been a challenging issue. Various diagnostic models have been proposed in the literature. However, no work has been reported on the development of a robust prediction model for forecasting the future health state of steam generators. In this paper, we propose an ARIMA-based prognostic approach for tracking the degradation evolution in a steam generator and further predicting its Remaining Useful Life (RUL) before breakdown. A case study concerning real degradation datasets from different steam generators is extensively investigated to validate the performance of the proposed model.\",\"PeriodicalId\":166131,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2018 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS)\",\"volume\":\"17 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2018 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSRS.2018.8688716\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2018 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSRS.2018.8688716","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Data-Driven Approach for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Steam Generators
The reliability of steam generators in nuclear power plants has always been a challenging issue. Various diagnostic models have been proposed in the literature. However, no work has been reported on the development of a robust prediction model for forecasting the future health state of steam generators. In this paper, we propose an ARIMA-based prognostic approach for tracking the degradation evolution in a steam generator and further predicting its Remaining Useful Life (RUL) before breakdown. A case study concerning real degradation datasets from different steam generators is extensively investigated to validate the performance of the proposed model.