人力资本理论:澳大利亚道路交通事故成本评估

M. Giles
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引用次数: 3

摘要

为了优先考虑用于预防道路碰撞和减少伤害规划的公共支出,各国政府需要关于当前碰撞成本和拟议规划的估计效益的信息。交通事故的成本包括有形成本,如车辆损坏修理成本,以及无形成本,如道路交通事故造成的生命损失价值。人力资本理论可以用来估计后者的成本。最近对澳大利亚道路交通事故成本的综合研究估计,每年的成本为2.461亿澳元(1988年美元)。这包括对死亡人数的估计。本文讨论了这个数字是如何推导出来的,以及与使用这种人力资本方法进行道路碰撞成本估算有关的问题。
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Human Capital Theory: An Australian Road Crash Costing Review
In order to prioritise public expenditure on road crash prevention and injury reduction programmes, governments need information on the current cost of crashes and the estimated benefits of the proposed programmes. The cost of crashes includes tangible costs such as vehicle damage repair cost, and intangible costs such as the value of lives lost due to road crashes. Human capital theory can be used to estimate the latter cost. The most recent comprehensive study of road crash costs in Australia estimated annual costs of A$246.1 million (1988 dollars). This included as estimate of the value of lives lost. How this figure is derived, and the problems related to using this human capital approach to road crash cost estimation, are discussed in this paper.
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