科罗拉多州光伏系统测量和模拟雪损的比较

O. Westbrook, S. MacAlpine, David A. Bowersox
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们对科罗拉多州四个公用事业规模的单轴跟踪光伏(PV)发电厂的雪损失进行了量化测量和建模。在三个冬天收集的50个站点月的数据中,Marion和Townsend的雪损模型显示出相似的绝对偏差,尽管Townsend模型的月均方根误差更小。根据我们的研究结果,我们建议,对于科罗拉多州和类似气候的光伏系统,将Townsend和Marion模型预测平均起来,以生成单面跟踪光伏设施最准确的雪损预测,并且仅将Townsend模型用于双面跟踪光伏设施。
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Comparison of Measured and Modeled Snow Losses for Photovoltaic Systems in Colorado
We quantify measured and modeled snow losses at four utility-scale single-axis tracking photovoltaic (PV) power plants in Colorado. Across 50 site-months of data collected over three winters, the Marion and Townsend snow loss models exhibited similar absolute bias errors, although the Townsend model had lower monthly root mean square error. Based on our results, we recommend that, for PV systems in Colorado and similar climates, the Townsend and Marion model predictions be averaged together to generate the most accurate snow loss predictions for monofacial tracking PV facilities, and that solely the Townsend model be used for bifacial tracking PV facilities.
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