中国对外直接投资的影响因素、区位选择与风险研究——基于“一带一路”沿线52个国家的实证分析

Jiaqing Xu, Qingyue Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文运用面板随机效应模型对“一带一路”沿线52个国家的数据进行分析,探讨中国对外直接投资区位选择的影响因素,并在此基础上分析中国对外直接投资的风险。实证结果表明,东道国劳动力素质、固定资产投资、对外开放程度、参与多边和双边机制以及双边关系对中国对外直接投资具有显著的促进作用。然而,东道国的工业化程度和北京与其他国家首都的距离对中国对外直接投资有负面影响。为提升中国跨国投资企业的竞争力,有效防范输出型对外投资风险,应采取以下措施:政府、产学研相互协作,加强对“一带一路”沿线国家的研究;同“一带一路”沿线国家发展和保持良好双边关系;完善出口信用保险体系,提高风险保障水平。
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Research on the Influencing Factors, Location Selection and Risk of Chinese Foreign Direct Investment ——Based on the Empirical Analysis of 52 Countries along "The Belt and Road"
In this paper, we analyzed the data of 52 countries along “The Belt and Road” by applying the panel random effects model, and explored the influencing factors of Chinese foreign direct investment location choice, and on the basis, analyzed the risk of Chinese foreign direct investment. The empirical results show that the quality of labor force in the host countries, the investment in fixed assets, the degree of opening up, the participation in the multilateral and bilateral mechanisms, and the bilateral relations have a significant facilitating role on Chinese foreign direct investment. However, the degree of industrialization in the host countries and the distance between Beijing and capitals of other countries have a negative effect on Chinese foreign direct investment. In order to enhance the competitiveness of Chinese multinational investment enterprises and effectively prevent the risks of output foreign investment, we should take the following measures: Government, industry, university and research institutions should mutual collaborate, and strengthen the research on countries along “The Belt and Road”; We should develop and maintain good bilateral relations with countries along “The Belt and Road”; We should improve Chinese export credit insurance system and improve the level of risk protection.
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