考察尼泊尔银行间利率波动

S. Neupane
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文试图利用日和月数据来检验尼泊尔银行间利率的波动模式。实证结果表明,在研究期间,波动率发生了显著变化。它描述了银行间利率大小差异的聚类。此外,由于每日银行间利率的ARCH和GARCH系数之和大于1,因此银行间市场的冲击具有很强的持久性。然而,已经观察到NRB的SLF降低了冲击的持久性,因为当模型中引入SLF和回购的影响时,ARCH和GARCH系数的总和减小了。结果表明,央行的SLF和回购有效降低了银行间市场每日震荡的持续性,但增加了有条件波动率的平均值。该研究的另一个重要发现是,平均条件波动率在2月份最高,在8月份最低。
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Examining Volatility of Interbank Rate in Nepal
This paper attempts to examine volatility pattern of interbank rate of Nepal using daily and monthly data. The empirical results show significant variation in volatility during the period of study. It depicts the clustering of large and small variances of interbank rate. Moreover, as the sum of ARCH and GARCH coefficients are greater than unity in the daily interbank rate, shocks are highly persistent in the interbank market. However, the SLF of NRB has been observed to lower the persistence of shocks, as the sum of ARCH and GARCH coefficients decreases when effect of SLF and repo are introduced in the model. It depicts that SLF and repo of NRB has been effective to lower the persistence of shocks on daily interbank market, but it increased the mean of conditional volatility. The other important finding of the study is that mean conditional volatility is highest in February and lowest in August.
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