尼泊尔道路交通事故的决定因素

Raju Bhai Manandhar
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摘要

目的-本研究的目的是研究尼泊尔道路交通事故的不良路况,酒后驾驶和天气状况之间的关系。另一个目的是评估性别对超速、路况差、酒驾、天气状况和道路交通事故的影响。设计/方法/方法-本研究以两轮及四轮车辆司机为对象。通过简单的随机抽样技术,根据加德满都山谷近5年的警察报告清单,选择了100名受访者。原始数据是本研究的信息来源。它是通过应用一个结构良好的调查问卷收集的。采用Cronbatch’s Alpha系数检验各因素的内部一致性,采用独立样本t检验分析道路交通事故、恶劣路况、酒驾和天气状况在性别上的差异。采用平均标准差、方差和相关性对数据进行系统分析,得出本研究的结论。研究发现:加德满都谷地恶劣的道路状况、酒后驾驶和天气状况与道路交通事故之间存在关联。该研究还发现,除了酒后驾驶,性别对恶劣的路况、天气状况和道路交通事故没有影响。可以得出结论,恶劣的道路条件和天气条件是导致道路交通事故的主要因素。研究限制/影响-该研究仅评估了三个解释变量,即整个研究中的恶劣路况,酒后驾驶和天气状况,以便未来的研究人员可以使用新的分析工具以更大的样本量研究影响公众道路交通事故的其他因素。原创性/价值-至少有过一次事故的司机名单来自警方报告。该研究基于海因里希于1980年提出的多米诺骨牌理论进行了研究。
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Determinants of road traffic accidents in Nepal
Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship of poor road condition, drunk driving and weather condition on road traffic accidents in Nepal. Another purpose is to evaluate the effect of gender on over speed, poor road condition, drunk driving, weather condition and road traffic accidents. Design/methodology/ approach – The study targeted to drivers of two-wheeled and four-wheeled vehicle as population. 100 respondents were selected through a simple random sampling technique based on the police report list during last 5 years of Kathmandu valley. Primary data was sources of information for the study. It was collected by applying a well-structured survey questionnaire. Cronbatch’s Alpha coefficients were used to examine the internal consistency of the factors and an independent sample t- test was adopted to analyze differences in road traffic accidents, poor road condition, drunk driving and weather condition in terms of gender. Mean standard deviation, variance, and correlation were adopted to analyze the data in a systematic way to derive the findings for the study. Findings - The study found that there is a relationship between poor road conditions, drunk driving, and weather conditions on road traffic accidents in Kathmandu valley. The study also found that gender has no impact on poor road conditions, weather conditions, and road traffic accidents except for drunk driving. It can be concluded that poor road conditions and weather conditions are major factors causes of road traffic accidents. Research limitation/ implications - The study evaluated only three explanatory variables i.e., poor road conditions, drunk driving, and weather conditions in the entire study so that future researchers can study other factors impacting the road traffic accident of the general public with a larger sample size with new analytical tools. Originality/value –The list of the drivers who had got at least one time accident was obtained from police report. The study based on domino theory developed by Heinrich in 1980 to have outputs.
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