股市不对称与投资者对总理的感觉:印度的证据

Subrata Roy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究实证检验了总理在任期间的收益率增长、波动冲击、市场效率和投资者对总理的情绪。因此,采用了各种波动率预测方法。观察到,在他们的总理任期内,疯牛病的回归并不遵循随机游走,效率低下。ARCH测度证实了波动性聚类的存在。根据EGARCH测算,杠杆效应不存在,但在少数总理任期内,基于TARCH测算的杠杆效应存在。最后,投资者信任那些根据回报率增长从印度国民大会党选举出来的总理。
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Stock Market Asymmetry and Investors’ Sensation on Prime Minister: Indian Evidence
This study empirically examines the growth of return, volatility shocks, market efficiency and investors’ sentiment on prime ministers during their administration as a prime minister. Thus, various volatility forecasting measures are applied. It is observed that BSE return does not follow a random walk and inefficient during their tenures as a prime minister. ARCH measure confirms about volatility clustering. According to the EGARCH measure leverage effect does not exist, but the presence of this effect based on TARCH during the tenure of few prime ministers. Finally, the investors are trustful to those prime ministers who are elected from the Indian National Congress according to the growth of return.
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