在不确定性和不信任风险日益增加的情况下保障国民经济的货币安全

Andrij Grytsenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

介绍。金融和经济动态的不确定性日益增加,导致对货币领域主体和机构的信任程度发生变化,从而破坏稳定的基础并引发危机。这迫使我们寻找新的途径来确保货币单位的稳定和货币安全。问题陈述。主要问题是缺乏科学知识,无法了解日益增长的不确定性和不信任对商业实体行为的影响机制,以及对这种变化特别敏感的货币领域,无法找到有效手段来抵消这些过程的负面影响并维护货币安全。目的。确定一种确保信心和货币安全的基本工具,在不确定性日益增加以及与流行病、危机、军事行动和其他不稳定因素有关的不信任程度可能加剧的情况下,这可以成为建立安全货币体系的基础。方法。研究的基础是运用从抽象到具体的上升方法,将逻辑运算、理论再现和上升相结合,找出所获得的理论成果的实际实施方向。结果。揭示了在不确定性和风险不断增加的条件下,信任与货币稳定的关系及其特征。阐明了信任的内部结构及其在主体信任、制度信任和客体信任方面的外在表现。对货币化的解释方法得到了证实,这使得区分包容性货币化和隔离性货币化成为可能。提出了在不确定性和风险日益增加的情况下使用以货币单位稳定为目标的制度,并披露了其内容。结论。不确定性的增加显著影响信任的动态及其与宏观经济、货币和财政参数的关系。在经济发展的风险和不确定性增加的情况下,权力机构,特别是货币当局的行动在维持人民和商业实体的信任方面发挥了重要作用。如果直接影响人民生活的经济参数保持相对稳定,而且当局向社会表明有能力控制局势,那么,即使经济普遍不均衡的情况日益严重,也可以与维护信任结合起来。为了确保货币的稳定和安全,货币化必须是包容性的,而不是隔离性的。在不确定性以及货币和财政风险日益增加的情况下,确保信任和货币安全的一个充分的基本工具是货币单位稳定的明确目标,其中通货膨胀(内部稳定)与汇率动态(外部稳定)相联系得到控制。
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Monetary security of the national economy in the conditions of growing uncertainty and risks of mistrust
Introduction. The growing uncertainty of financial and economic dynamics leads to changes in the level of trust in subjects and institutions of the monetary sphere, which undermines the foundations of stability and provokes crises. This forces us to look for new approaches to ensuring the stability of the monetary unit and monetary security. Problem Statement. The main problem is the lack of scientific knowledge regarding the mechanisms of the impact of growing uncertainty and mistrust on the behavior of business entities, and the monetary sphere, which is especially sensitive to such changes, to find effective means of counteracting the negative impact of these processes and maintaining monetary security. Purpose. To identify a basic tool for ensuring confidence and monetary security, which could become the basis for building a safe monetary system in conditions of growing uncertainty and risks of increasing the level of mistrust associated with pandemics, crises, military actions and other destabilizing factors. Methods. The research is based on the application of the method of ascent from the abstract to the concrete, which combines logical operations, theoretical reproduction and ascent to find out directions of the practical implementation of the obtained theoretical results. Results. The relationship between trust and monetary stability and its features in conditions of growing uncertainty and risks are revealed. The internal structure of trust and its external manifestations in trust in subjects, institutions and objects are clarified. The approach to the interpretation of monetization is substantiated, which made it possible to distinguish between inclusive and segregative monetization. The use of the regime of targeting the stability of the monetary unit in conditions of growing uncertainty and risks is proposed and its content is disclosed. Conclusions. The growth of uncertainty significantly affects the dynamics of trust and its relationship with macroeconomic, monetary and fiscal parameters. An important role in maintaining the trust of the population and business entities in the conditions of increased risks and uncertainty of economic development is played by the actions of power structures, in particular, the monetary authority. Even the growing general disproportionality of the economy can be combined with the preservation of trust, if the economic parameters directly affecting people's lives remain relatively stable, and the authorities demonstrate to society the ability to control the situation. In order to ensure monetary stability and security, monetization, which must be inclusive and not segregative, is essential. An adequate basic tool for ensuring trust and monetary security in the conditions of growing uncertainty and monetary and fiscal risks is the unfolded targeting of the stability of the monetary unit, in which inflation (internal stability) is controlled in relation to the dynamics of the exchange rate (external stability).
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