估计泰国发电的健康损害成本

Songsak Sakulniyomporn, K. Kubaha, Chullapong Chullabodhi
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引用次数: 4

摘要

发电是可造成公众健康退化的空气污染物的主要来源之一。然而,在文献中找不到使用健康损害成本的证据,以便将其影响包括在其生产成本中。在本研究中,对泰国2006年至2008年期间运行的化石燃料发电造成的健康损害成本进行了评估。基于影响路径法(IPA),主要大气污染物(SO2、NOX和PM10)在化石燃料燃烧阶段形成,并直接从烟囱排放到大气中。利用CALMET/CALPUFF模拟系统对含二次粒子(硫酸盐和硝酸盐气溶胶)的污染物平流进行了模拟。污染物浓度增加对人类健康造成的损害与死亡率和发病率的暴露-反应函数(erf)有关。最后,对这些影响的成本进行了估计。结果表明,所有考虑的来源每年造成300多人死亡,占总损失费用的90%以上。最大的问题是受石油/天然气发电厂的影响。因此,健康损害成本对电力市场价格的影响相对较大。考虑到损害成本将有利于能源和环境政策的影响。
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Estimating the health damage costs of electricity generation in Thailand
Electricity generation is one of the major sources of airborne pollutants which can cause public health degradation. However, evidences for using the health damage costs cannot be found in the literature in order to include the effects in its production costs. In this study, the health damage costs due to Thai electricity generation produced from fossil fuels which operated during the period from 2006 to 2008 were evaluated. Based on the impact pathway approach (IPA), the main airborne pollutants (SO2, NOX, and PM10) were formed in fossil fuel burning stage and emitted directly from stack to the atmosphere. The advections of the pollutants including secondary particulates (sulfate and nitrate aerosols) were simulated using the CALMET/CALPUFF modeling system. Damages to human health resulting from the increment in pollutant concentrations were associated with the exposure-response functions (ERFs) of mortality and morbidity. Finally, costs of such impacts were then estimated. The results showed that more than 300 deaths were annually caused by all considered sources which taken more than 90% of the total damage cost. The largest problem was influenced by oil/gas-fired power plants. As a result, the health damage costs were relatively significant to electricity market price. Taking the damage costs into account will be beneficial to energy and environmental policy implications.
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