对外直接投资在印度经济增长中的作用:来自非线性ARDL方法的证据

N. Kumar, Nidhi Singhal
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引用次数: 2

摘要

该研究使用1990-2019年的时间序列数据调查了印度对外直接投资(OFDI)与经济增长之间的关系。它开发了三个模型,包括对外直接投资、经济增长、外来直接投资、出口和固定资本形成总额等变量。它采用非线性ARDL方法,以人均GDP作为经济增长的代表。总体而言,研究发现印度对外直接投资与经济增长之间存在长期和短期正相关的双变量关系。但随着国内固定资本形成变量的引入,二者的关系变为负相关。该研究建议政策制定者关注国家的固定资本形成总额,并邀请国外投资,而不是将资金直接投向国外。
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Role of Outward Foreign Direct Investment in Economic Growth of India: Evidence from Non-linear ARDL Approach
The study investigates the relationship between outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and economic growth of India using time series data covering the period of 1990–2019. It develops three models, including variables such as OFDI, economic growth, inward foreign direct investment, exports, and gross fixed capital formation. It applies non-linear ARDL approach and uses GDP per capita as proxy of economic growth. Broadly, it finds a positive long-run and short-run bi-variate relationship between OFDI and economic growth of India. But with the introduction of domestic fixed capital formation variable, the relationship turns negative. The study recommends the policymakers to focus on country’s gross fixed capital formation and invite investments from abroad, rather than directing funds to foreign countries.
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