利用人工智能进行作物交替预测:以阿萨姆邦为例

Bhabesh Mali, Santanu Saha, Daimalu Brahma, P. Singh, Sukumar Nandi
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摘要

近年来,人工智能和机器学习在农业领域得到了大量的应用,以解决该领域面临的各种挑战。在一个以农业为基础的国家,农业部门的重点是实现作物的最大产量并从中获利。由于各种气候变化、虫害、土壤处理不当、降雨不足、营养不足等原因,农作物遭受了严重损失。在各种研究中,人们发现机器学习的使用对于解决各种与作物相关的问题非常有帮助,包括基于各种因素的作物预测。受此启发,我们在本文中对阿萨姆邦进行了一个案例研究,利用人工智能预测替代作物,目的是帮助农民。有了我们提出的解决方案,农民将能够根据季节、土壤的pH值、温度、降雨量和土壤类型预测最适合种植的特定作物,关注获得最大产量,然后是最大利润。我们已经使用人工神经网络(ANN)来预测种植合适的作物。该模型通过保持原始数据分布,有效地预测了交替作物,对测试数据的预测精度约为90.89%,对k-fold交叉验证的预测精度约为91.57%。
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Alternate Crop Prediction using Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study in Assam
In recent years, there has been a lot of utilization of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the field of agriculture to address various types of challenges faced by this sector. In an agro-based country, the focus of the agricultural sector is to achieve the maximum yield of the crops grown and make profits out of it. There has been a severe loss of crops due to the various climatic variations, pest infestation, improper soil treatment, inadequate rainfall, inadequate nutrients etc. In various research studies, the use of machine learning has been found very helpful in addressing various crop-related problems including crop prediction based on various factors. Motivated from this, we, in this paper conducted a case study in Assam for the prediction of alternate crops using artificial intelligence and with an objective to help out the farmers. With our proposed solution, the farmers will be able to predict a particular crop that will be most suitable to grow according to the season, pH of the soil, temperature, rainfall and type of the soil, keeping an eye to get the maximum yield followed by maximum profit. We have used Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to predict the right crop to be grown. The proposed model efficiently predicts the alternate crop by preserving the original data distribution with an accuracy of about 90.89% for the test data and by using the k-fold Cross-Validation, the accuracy is about 91.57%.
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