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引用次数: 8

摘要

本文提出了一种利用特征选择的方法,通过去除错误分类实例和合成少数派过采样技术来改进学生学习成绩的预测。比较了Naïve贝叶斯、顺序最小优化、人工神经网络、k近邻、REPTree、部分决策树和随机森林7种学生学业成绩预测模型的性能。这些数据是在2015年至2018年期间从泰国拉贾哈特马哈萨拉卡姆大学的9458名学生中收集的。模型的性能以精度、召回率和F-measure进行评估。实验结果表明,随机森林方法显著提高了学生学业成绩预测模型的性能,准确率达到41.70%,召回率达到41.40%,F-measure达到41.60%。
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Improving Student Academic Performance Prediction Models using Feature Selection
This paper presents methods to improve the prediction of student academic performance using feature selection by removing misclassified instances and Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique. It compares the performance of seven students’ academic performance prediction models, namely Naïve Bayes, Sequential Minimum Optimization, Artificial Neural Network, k-Nearest Neighbor, REPTree, Partial decision trees, and Random Forest. The data were collected from 9,458 students at the Rajabhat Maha Sarakham University, Thailand during 2015 - 2018. The model performances were evaluated with precision, recall, and F-measure. The experimental results indicated that the Random Forest approach significantly improves the performance of students’ academic performance prediction models with precision up to 41.70%, recall up to 41.40% and F-measure up to 41.60%, respectively.
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