{"title":"经验偏差减少调整估计函数","authors":"Ioannis Kosmidis, Nicola Lunardon","doi":"10.1093/jrsssb/qkad083","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We develop a novel, general framework for reduced-bias M-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function contributions. Reduced-bias M-estimation operates either implicitly, solving empirically adjusted estimating equations, or explicitly, subtracting the estimated bias from the original M-estimates, and applies to partially or fully specified models with likelihoods or surrogate objectives. Automatic differentiation can abstract away the algebra required to implement reduced-bias M-estimation. As a result, the bias-reduction methods, we introduce have broader applicability, straightforward implementation, and less algebraic or computational effort than other established bias-reduction methods that require resampling or expectations of products of log-likelihood derivatives. If M-estimation is by maximising an objective, then there always exists a bias-reducing penalised objective. That penalised objective relates to information criteria for model selection and can be enhanced with plug-in penalties to deliver reduced-bias M-estimates with extra properties, like finiteness for categorical data models. Inferential procedures and model selection procedures for M-estimators apply unaltered with the reduced-bias M-estimates. We demonstrate and assess the properties of reduced-bias M-estimation in well-used, prominent modelling settings of varying complexity.","PeriodicalId":49982,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Empirical bias-reducing adjustments to estimating functions\",\"authors\":\"Ioannis Kosmidis, Nicola Lunardon\",\"doi\":\"10.1093/jrsssb/qkad083\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract We develop a novel, general framework for reduced-bias M-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function contributions. Reduced-bias M-estimation operates either implicitly, solving empirically adjusted estimating equations, or explicitly, subtracting the estimated bias from the original M-estimates, and applies to partially or fully specified models with likelihoods or surrogate objectives. Automatic differentiation can abstract away the algebra required to implement reduced-bias M-estimation. As a result, the bias-reduction methods, we introduce have broader applicability, straightforward implementation, and less algebraic or computational effort than other established bias-reduction methods that require resampling or expectations of products of log-likelihood derivatives. If M-estimation is by maximising an objective, then there always exists a bias-reducing penalised objective. That penalised objective relates to information criteria for model selection and can be enhanced with plug-in penalties to deliver reduced-bias M-estimates with extra properties, like finiteness for categorical data models. Inferential procedures and model selection procedures for M-estimators apply unaltered with the reduced-bias M-estimates. We demonstrate and assess the properties of reduced-bias M-estimation in well-used, prominent modelling settings of varying complexity.\",\"PeriodicalId\":49982,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology\",\"volume\":\"32 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad083\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad083","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Empirical bias-reducing adjustments to estimating functions
Abstract We develop a novel, general framework for reduced-bias M-estimation from asymptotically unbiased estimating functions. The framework relies on an empirical approximation of the bias by a function of derivatives of estimating function contributions. Reduced-bias M-estimation operates either implicitly, solving empirically adjusted estimating equations, or explicitly, subtracting the estimated bias from the original M-estimates, and applies to partially or fully specified models with likelihoods or surrogate objectives. Automatic differentiation can abstract away the algebra required to implement reduced-bias M-estimation. As a result, the bias-reduction methods, we introduce have broader applicability, straightforward implementation, and less algebraic or computational effort than other established bias-reduction methods that require resampling or expectations of products of log-likelihood derivatives. If M-estimation is by maximising an objective, then there always exists a bias-reducing penalised objective. That penalised objective relates to information criteria for model selection and can be enhanced with plug-in penalties to deliver reduced-bias M-estimates with extra properties, like finiteness for categorical data models. Inferential procedures and model selection procedures for M-estimators apply unaltered with the reduced-bias M-estimates. We demonstrate and assess the properties of reduced-bias M-estimation in well-used, prominent modelling settings of varying complexity.
期刊介绍:
Series B (Statistical Methodology) aims to publish high quality papers on the methodological aspects of statistics and data science more broadly. The objective of papers should be to contribute to the understanding of statistical methodology and/or to develop and improve statistical methods; any mathematical theory should be directed towards these aims. The kinds of contribution considered include descriptions of new methods of collecting or analysing data, with the underlying theory, an indication of the scope of application and preferably a real example. Also considered are comparisons, critical evaluations and new applications of existing methods, contributions to probability theory which have a clear practical bearing (including the formulation and analysis of stochastic models), statistical computation or simulation where original methodology is involved and original contributions to the foundations of statistical science. Reviews of methodological techniques are also considered. A paper, even if correct and well presented, is likely to be rejected if it only presents straightforward special cases of previously published work, if it is of mathematical interest only, if it is too long in relation to the importance of the new material that it contains or if it is dominated by computations or simulations of a routine nature.