废物港转移与贫困-环境陷阱:来自欧盟的证据

Yanli Wang, Yi Liu, Wanyin Feng, Shugui Zeng
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摘要

本文考察了“废物天堂”的迁移在多大程度上造成了“贫困-环境陷阱”。也就是说,进口垃圾造成了欧洲欠发达国家的中等收入陷阱。利用2001 - 2018年欧盟28个国家废弃物二氧化碳排放的空间德宾模型,估算了欧盟成员国进口废弃物的碳足迹。结果表明,人均GDP与进口废弃物碳足迹之间呈倒“U”型曲线,符合“废弃物天堂”转移的环境库兹涅茨曲线。它阻碍了高质量FDI的流入。在进一步的机制检验中,我们发现产业结构、FDI、工业化和城市化对“污染天堂”和“环境贫困陷阱”的时空转移负有责任。结果还表明,“废物天堂”可能在一定程度上加速欠发达国家的经济增长,但由于这些国家的污染工业比例较高,这些国家的污染密集型部门的外国直接投资使其环境状况恶化。它强化了污染避风港效应,使欧盟低收入国家陷入了“贫困-环境陷阱”的恶性循环。
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Waste Haven Transfer and Poverty-Environment Trap: Evidence from EU
This paper tests the extent to which the migration of "waste haven" causes a "poverty-environment trap". That is to say, imported waste caused the mid-income trap of the less developed European countries. Using Spatial Durbin Model on waste carbon dioxide emission of 28 EU countries from 2001 to 2018, we estimate the carbon footprint of imported wastes of the European Union (EU) members. The result shows an inverted "U" shape curve between GDP per capita and imported waste carbon footprint, confirming an Environment Kuznets Curve of "waste haven" transfer. It hinders the inbound of high-quality FDI. In the further mechanism test, we found industrial structure, FDI, industrialization, and urbanization are responsible for the spatial-temporal transfer of "pollution haven" and "environmental-poverty trap". The results also show that "waste haven" may accelerate the economic growth of less developed countries to some extent, however, with a higher percentage of dirty industries, FDI in the pollution-intensive sectors of these countries worsens their environmental conditions. It reinforces pollution haven effects and created a vicious circle of "poverty-environment trap" for low-income countries in the EU.
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