尼加拉瓜、哥斯达黎加和洪都拉斯历史降水与全球历史降水的多变量分析

Victor Rogelio Tirado Picado
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摘要

基于多元相关分析技术,对尼加拉瓜机场站、El Indio咖啡种植园站、哥斯达黎加San Vito-Puntarenas站和洪都拉斯Amapala站的变量历史降水与WorldClim全球数据的历史降水进行了相关性分析。研究问题是根据中美洲地区三个不同地点的历史降水数据与WorldClim全球降水数据库的相关性制定的,这些数据可用于在缺乏它们的情况下进行特定的水文分析。结果,产生了四种可能的组合,其中Y是全球WorldClim数据,尼加拉瓜站数据,然后是哥斯达黎加站数据,最后是洪都拉斯站数据,确定R2相关性分别为0.98,0.98,0.99和0.95,这种拟合优度相关性表明有很大的精度。表明在没有资料的情况下,可以利用计算系数中的WorldClim或中美洲地区另一个站点的数据进行水文研究。
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Multivariate Analysis of the Historical Precipitation of Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Honduras with the Global Historical Precipitation from Worldclim
The present investigation includes the analysis of the correlation of the variable historical precipitation of the Nicaraguan airport station, the El Indio coffee plantation station, San Vito-Puntarenas in Costa Rica, and the Amapala station in Honduras versus the historical precipitation of global data from WorldClim, based on of the multivariate correlation analysis technique. The research questions are formulated in relation to the correlation of historical precipitation data at three different points in the Central American region versus the WorldClim global precipitation database, and that these can be used to perform specific hydrological analyzes at lack of them. As a result, four possible combinations were produced, where Y were the global WorldClim data, the data from the Nicaragua station, then the data from the Costa Rica station and finally the data from the Honduras station, determining R2 correlations of the order of 0.98, 0.98, 0.99 and 0.95 respectively, this goodness-of-fit correlation indicates that there is a lot of precision, demonstrating that the data from WorldClim or from another station in the Central American region can be used from the calculated coefficients to perform hydrological studies in the absence of information.
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