不完全信息的策略性传递:为什么(没有证据)披露证据是困难的

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS International Journal of Game Theory Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI:10.1007/s00182-023-00848-1
Manuel Foerster
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在我们这个廉价谈话的环境中,专家私下观察了多个二进制信号,这是她关于世界连续状态的软证据,然后与决策者交流。虽然直接传递证据需要传达潜在的信号,但间接传递证据需要传达她的证据的汇总统计。我们首先证明,如果利益冲突很小,则存在完全信息均衡。否则,证据的直接传递是不可能的,因为在沟通中保留一部分软证据必然会导致操纵另一部分报告的动机。相反,证据的间接传递对于中间利益冲突仍然具有部分信息性。最后,介绍了认证的可能性。我们表明,如果认证的成本较低,专家可以充分展示她的证据,而不考虑利益冲突。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Strategic transmission of imperfect information: why revealing evidence (without proof) is difficult
Abstract In our cheap-talk setting, an expert privately observes multiple binary signals, her soft evidence, about a continuous state of the world and then communicates with a decision-maker. While direct transmission of evidence entails communicating the underlying signals, indirect transmission of evidence entails communicating a summary statistic of her evidence. We first establish that fully informative equilibria exist if the conflict of interest is small. Otherwise, direct transmission of evidence is impossible, as withholding one part of the soft evidence in the communication necessarily induces incentives to manipulate the report on the other part. On the contrary, indirect transmission of evidence remains partially informative for intermediate conflicts of interest. Finally, we introduce the possibility of certification. We show that, if the costs of certification are low, the expert can fully reveal her evidence regardless of the conflict of interest.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Game Theory
International Journal of Game Theory 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: International Journal of Game Theory is devoted to game theory and its applications. It publishes original research making significant contributions from a methodological, conceptual or mathematical point of view. Survey articles may also be considered if especially useful for the field.
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