环境污染对马来西亚粮食安全的影响

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摘要

环境污染已成为一项重大的全球挑战,严重影响人类生活的各个方面,包括粮食安全。本研究论文利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法,调查了1990年至2020年马来西亚环境污染对农业产出(粮食安全的代理)的影响。利用边界协整检验方法获得的结果提供了强有力的证据,支持能源部门甲烷排放(千吨二氧化碳当量)(CH4)、二氧化碳排放(人均公吨)(CO2)、能源部门氧化亚氮排放(千吨二氧化碳当量)(N2O)与GDP、人口、农业全要素生产率指数和农业产出之间存在长期关系。对诊断和模型稳定性的长期和短期ARDL的估计表明,在所有四个分析模型中,马来西亚农业全要素生产率(TFP)指数与农业产出之间存在正相关关系。这些发现阐明了环境污染影响马来西亚粮食安全的可能机制,为决策者和利益相关者制定有效的可持续发展战略提供了有价值的见解。通过揭示环境退化对粮食供应、获取和营养质量的影响,该研究强调了解决环境挑战以确保马来西亚人口长期粮食安全的紧迫性。此外,这项研究可作为制定可持续政策的基础,促进农业和工业部门的资源节约、废物管理和生态友好做法,促进经济发展与环境保护之间的和谐共存。
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The effects of environmental pollution on food security in Malaysia
Environmental pollution has emerged as a critical global challenge, significantly affecting various aspects of human life, including food security. This research paper investigates the effects of environmental pollution on agricultural output (a proxy for food security) in Malaysia from 1990 to 2020, utilising the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The results obtained from the bounds cointegration testing approach provided strong evidence supporting the existence of a long-term relationship among Methane emissions in the energy sector (thousand metric tons of CO2 equivalent) (CH4), Carbon dioxide emissions (metric tons per capita) (CO2), Nitrous oxide emissions in the energy sector (thousand metric tons of CO2 equivalent) (N2O), GDP, population, index of agricultural total factor productivity, and agricultural output. Estimation of long-run and short-run ARDL with diagnostic and model stability reveals that there is a positive correlation between the index of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) and agricultural output in Malaysia in all four of the models analysed. The discoveries illuminate the possible mechanisms by which environmental pollution affects food security in Malaysia, offering valuable insights to policymakers and stakeholders for crafting effective strategies toward sustainable development. By uncovering the implications of environmental degradation on food availability, access, and nutritional quality, the study highlights the urgency of addressing environmental challenges to ensure long-term food security for the Malaysian population. Moreover, the study can serve as a basis for formulating sustainable policies that promote resource conservation, waste management, and eco-friendly practices in the agricultural and industrial sectors, fostering a harmonious coexistence between economic development and environmental preservation.
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