Placing constraints on the nature of short-term eustatic curves

The isolation of the eustatic signal from the sedimentary record is a challenging task, and accordingly, there is no consensus on the magnitude and pace (rate) of eustatic events in the geological record. Here we critically assess various published short-term Cretaceous eustatic curves using insights from forward stratigraphic modelling. We generate a range of simulations with varying eustatic rates and sediment supply against a background of constant subsidence. From these, we generate statistics on the accommodation change associated with the various systems tracts for different sediment supply. We quantify the minimum rate needed to generate transgressive systems tracts (TST). Using this threshold and average subsidence rates for passive margins and intracratonic basins, we document some key challenges with a range of Cretaceous eustatic curves. While it is possible to complexify, this approach through the inclusion of other parameters, our results provide a framework for evaluating eustatic (or relative sea level) curves in terms of the implied rate of change of accommodation. Given these caveats, we also show that many estimates of the magnitude of short-term transgressions are of insufficient rate to generate observable TST. Further, our work places an upper limit on the time frame over which aquifer and thermo-eustasy can have observable impacts on the rock record, providing support for the action of glacio-eustasy during the Cretaceous.