传统和非常规货币政策对贷款违约风险的影响——来自英国p2p借贷平台的证据

Anh Nguyet Vu
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摘要

本研究探讨了传统和非常规货币政策对英国个人和企业P2P贷款违约的影响。我使用了Zopa, Lending Works和MarketFinance的贷款账簿数据,这是英国最受欢迎的三个P2P借贷平台。生存分析揭示了货币政策风险承担渠道存在的一致证据。无论是传统的还是非传统的货币宽松政策,都会降低P2P借贷市场的贷款存活率。这一发现为政策制定者在替代融资时代重新平衡扩张性货币政策对金融稳定的抵消效应提供了有用的信息。
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The impact of conventional and unconventional monetary policies on loan default risk—Evidence from UK peer-to-peer lending platforms
This study investigates the effect of both conventional and unconventional monetary policies on loan default of UK personal and business peer-to-peer (P2P) loans. I employ loan book data of Zopa, Lending Works, and MarketFinance, which are three of the most popular UK P2P lending platforms. Survival analysis reveals consistent evidence for the existence of the risk-taking channel of monetary policy. Monetary easing, be it conventional or unconventional, reduces loan survival in the P2P lending market. This finding delivers useful information for policymakers to rebalance the countervailing effects of expansionary monetary policies on financial stability during the era of alternative financing.
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