应用随机森林的机器学习预测交通事故中的受伤情况

Veer Bhadra Pratap Singh, V. Hemamalini, Appala Srinuvasu Muttipati, Sssv Gopala Raju, Abu Hena Md Shatil, Abhishek Sharma
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是对交通事故的危害进行分析和预测。为此,我们创建了几个随机森林统计模型,其中可预测变量(响应/输出变量)是事故的危害性。建立了几个随机森林统计模型,其中可预测变量(响应/输出变量)是事故的危害性,而输入变量是事故的各种特征。此外,这些生成的模型将允许估计所研究的每个因素(输入变量)对道路事故危害的影响或重要性,以便有可能知道在哪些方面更有利于降低交通事故死亡率的目标[1]。影响这种预测的输入变量是事故的各种特征。在这方面,预测算法的袋外误差为26.55%,整体准确率为74.1%。同时,轻伤级别的局部准确率为66.1%,而死伤者和重伤级别的局部准确率为81.4%,如前文所述,具有较高的预测可靠性。此外,这些生成的模型将允许估计所研究的每个因素(输入变量)对道路事故危害的影响或重要性。最后,值得注意的是随机森林机器学习技术的巨大有用性,它为可能进行的研究或研究提供了非常有用的信息。在这项工作的具体情况下,通过使用R编程语言,它反过来提供了广泛的免费使用的实用工具和函数,这些工具和函数可能是有趣的工作,它为这一领域的活动产生了巨大的价值,对社会和道路安全一样重要。有可能知道在哪些方面为减少交通事故死亡率的目标而努力更有益。
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Application of Machine Learning Predicting Injuries in Traffic Accidents through the Application of Random Forest
The objective of this work is to analyze and predict the harmfulness in traffic accidents. To this end, several Random Forest statistical models are created, in which the predictable variable (response/ output variable) is the harmfulness of the accident. Several Random Forest statistical models are created, in which the predictable variable (response/ output variable) is the harmfulness of the accident, while the input variables are the various characteristics of the accident. In addition, these generated models will allow estimating the influence or importance of each of the factors studied (input variables) concerning the harmfulness of road accidents so that it is possible to know in which aspects it is more profitable to work with the objective of reducing mortality from traffic accidents [1]. The input variables that condition this prediction are the various characteristics of the accident. In this regard, the predictive algorithm has an out-of-bag error of 26.55% and an overall accuracy of 74.1%. Meanwhile, the local accuracy of the mildly wounded class is 66.1% compared to 81.4% of the dead and severely wounded class, which, as mentioned, has higher prediction reliability. In addition, these generated models will allow estimating the influence or importance of each of the factors studied (input variables) on the harmfulness of road accidents Finally, it is worth noting the enormous usefulness of the Random Forest machine learning technique, which provides very useful information for possible research or studies that may be carried out. In the specific case of this work, through the use of the R programming language, which in turn presents a wide range of freely accessible utilities and functions with which it may be interesting working, it has generated results of great value for this area of activity, important to society as road safety. it is possible to know in which aspects it is more profitable to work with the objective of reducing mortality from traffic accidents .
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来源期刊
Recent Patents on Engineering
Recent Patents on Engineering Engineering-Engineering (all)
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
100
期刊介绍: Recent Patents on Engineering publishes review articles by experts on recent patents in the major fields of engineering. A selection of important and recent patents on engineering is also included in the journal. The journal is essential reading for all researchers involved in engineering sciences.
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