欧盟的旅游业发展与环境可持续性:制度治理的调节作用

Ahmad Nawaz, Muhammad Shakeel
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摘要

本研究探讨了 1995-2018 年期间旅游业和机构治理以及其他变量对 15 个选定的欧洲联盟(欧盟)经济体二氧化碳排放量(COE)的动态影响。本研究的新颖实证有两个方面。首先,根据欧盟国家的出入境信息控制了国家集团效应;其次,为了捕捉并更好地理解制度质量对样本国家碳中和旅游的意义,研究了旅游收入和制度质量指数的交互效应。为了得到稳健的结果,对基于非线性自回归分布滞后(ARDL)、固定效应和广义矩法(GMM)的模型进行了估计,其中非线性 ARDL 方法的结果显示,旅游业和制度质量不存在非对称效应,不会对污染产生内在影响。具体而言,研究结果表明,旅游业发展和贸易开放可以降低 COE。此外,有证据表明该地区存在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。虽然单独的制度质量被认为会对环境产生不利影响,但将旅游业和制度质量的交互项纳入框架后,发现对选定地区的 COE 有显著的负面影响。因此,建议欧盟经济体制定有效战略,改善目前的制度治理框架,从而有助于促进旅游业、游客的绿色购买意愿、经济发展、贸易自由化和环境质量。
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Tourism Development and Environmental Sustainability in the European Union: Moderating Role of Institutional Governance
This study examines the dynamic effects of tourism and institutional governance along with other variables on CO2 emissions (COE) in the 15 selected European Union (EU) economies over the period 1995-2018. The novel empirical evidence of this study is twofold. First, countries’ bloc effect is controlled based on the entry and exit information of EU countries, and second, in order to capture and better apprehend the aspects of institutional quality meaningful for carbon-neutral tourism in sample countries, interaction effects of tourism receipts and index of institutional quality are examined. For the robust results, non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), fixed effects and generalized method of moments (GMM) based models are estimated, wherein the results of the non-linear ARDL approach reveal that there are no asymmetric effects of tourism and institutional quality, that intrinsically affect pollution. Specifically, the findings reveal that tourism development and trade openness can reduce COE. Also, there is evidence of the existence of an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in the region. Though institutional quality alone has been found to have an unfavorable impact on the environment yet the interaction term of tourism and institutional quality into the framework reveals a significant and negative impact on COE in the selected region. Therefore, it is suggested that the EU economies should develop effective strategies to improve their present institutional governance framework in such a manner that will help to promote tourism, green purchase intentions of tourists, economic development, trade liberalization and environmental quality.
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