自 1999 年以来,展望是如何发展的?了解其主题、范围和重点

IF 2.3 Q3 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Foresight Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI:10.1108/fs-01-2023-0001
Vaishali Dhiman, Manpreet Arora
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Given that “Blackman” and “Richardson” are well-known writers, it is also critical to examine the scope and complexity of their contributions to potentially identify recurring themes or patterns in their writing. The geographic productivity results, which show that the USA, Australia and the UK are the top three countries for <em>Foresight J</em> publications, may encourage more research into regional differences, patterns of collaboration and the worldwide distribution of research endeavours in the context of forecasting and foresight. Popular fields including scenario planning, forecasting, foresight and sustainable development are consistent, indicating persistent research interests. Examining the causes of these subjects’ ongoing relevance can reveal information about the consistency and development of scholarly interests over time.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Practical implications</h3>\n<p><em>Foresight J</em>’s bibliometric analysis has real-world applications for many stakeholders. It helps editors and publishers make strategic decisions about outreach and content by providing insights regarding the journal’s influence. Assessing organizational and author productivity helps institutions allocate resources more effectively. Policymakers acquire an instrument to evaluate research patterns and distribute funds efficiently. In general, bibliometric study of a journal helps decisionmakers in academic publishing make well-informed choices that maximize the potential of options for authors, editors, institutions and policymakers.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Social implications</h3>\n<p>The societal ramifications of bibliometrically analysing <em>Foresight J</em> from 1999 and 2022 are substantial. This analysis highlights, over the past 24 years, research trends, technological developments and societal priorities have changed by methodically looking through the journal’s articles. Gaining knowledge about the academic environment covered by the journal can help raise public awareness of important topics and promote critical thinking. In addition, the analysis can support evidence-based decision-making by alerting decision makers to the influential research that was published in <em>Foresight J</em>. This could have an impact on the course of policies pertaining to innovation, technology and societal development.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Originality/value</h3>\n<p>This study presents a first comprehensive article that provides a general overview of the main trends and patterns of the research over the <em>Foresight J</em>’s history since its inception. Also, the paper will help the scientific community to know the value and impact of <em>Foresight J</em>.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":51620,"journal":{"name":"Foresight","volume":"76 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"How foresight has evolved since 1999? 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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的《前瞻杂志》的发展历程始于 1999 年,2022 年标志着其 24 年出版历程的结束。本文旨在通过对《前瞻杂志》的文献进行定量分析,全面概述 1999 年至 2022 年期间该杂志发表的重要研究趋势。总体目标是为学术交流动态提供有价值的见解,帮助研究人员、机构和政策制定者评估学术工作的意义和影响,指导未来的研究方向和学术评价。设计/方法/途径本文的方法论由科学绘图和绩效分析两种文献计量学方法构成。作者使用这些方法解释了 Foresight J 的开发和构成。目前的研究正在使用 SCOPUS 数据库分析多个方面,如按年份分列的出版物演变情况、被引用次数最多的论文、核心作者和研究人员、主要国家和多产机构。此外,还利用 VOSviewer、CiteSpace 和 RStudio 等网络可视化软件对期刊的概念结构、范围、突发检测和共现分析进行了映射。经确定,"Saritas "是总体影响最大的作者。然而,根据 SCOPUS 的文献计量数据,"布莱克曼 "和 "理查森 "是在文章数量方面最具相关性的作者。此外,美国、澳大利亚和英国显然是发表论文最多的国家。该期刊最受欢迎的领域一直是预测、展望、情景规划、战略规划、决策、技术和可持续发展。这些也是出现频率最高的作者关键词。相比之下,《前瞻 J》的新研究主题包括数字技术、创新、可持续发展、区块链、人工智能和可持续发展。研究局限/启示《前瞻 J》的文献计量学研究提供了几个值得注意的研究启示。"Saritas "是总体影响最大的作者,表明该研究人员在预测、前瞻及相关领域的确切贡献和影响力。鉴于 "布莱克曼 "和 "理查森 "都是著名作家,研究他们的贡献的范围和复杂性也很关键,这样有可能发现他们写作中反复出现的主题或模式。地域生产力结果表明,美国、澳大利亚和英国是《预测与展望 J》发表文章最多的三个国家,这可能会鼓励对预测与展望方面的地区差异、合作模式和研究工作的全球分布开展更多研究。包括情景规划、预测、展望和可持续发展在内的热门领域是一致的,表明了持续的研 究兴趣。研究这些主题持续相关性的原因可以揭示学术兴趣随着时间推移的一致性和发展情况。通过深入了解期刊的影响力,它可以帮助编辑和出版商做出有关外联和内容的战略决策。评估组织和作者的生产力有助于机构更有效地分配资源。政策制定者可利用该工具评估研究模式,并有效分配资金。总之,对期刊进行文献计量学研究有助于学术出版决策者在充分知情的情况下做出选择,最大限度地发挥作者、编辑、机构和决策者的选择潜力。 社会影响对 1999 年至 2022 年《前瞻 J》进行文献计量学分析的社会影响是巨大的。这项分析通过有条不紊地查阅期刊论文,突出了过去 24 年间研究趋势、技术发展和社会优先事项的变化。了解期刊所覆盖的学术环境有助于提高公众对重要主题的认识,促进批判性思维。此外,该分析还可以提醒决策者注意《前瞻杂志》上发表的有影响力的研究成果,从而支持循证决策,这可能会对创新、技术和社会发展相关政策的走向产生影响。此外,本文还有助于科学界了解 Foresight J 的价值和影响。
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How foresight has evolved since 1999? Understanding its themes, scope and focus

Purpose

Foresight J's journey started in 1999, and in 2022, it marked the conclusion of its 24 years of publication. This paper aims to provide an overall overview of important research trends published in Foresight J between 1999 and 2022 by conducting a quantitative analysis of the journal’s literature. The overarching goal is to provide valuable insights into the dynamics of scholarly communication, aiding researchers, institutions and policymakers in assessing the significance and influence of academic work, guiding future research directions and academic evaluation.

Design/methodology/approach

The two bibliometrics methodologies that make up the methodology of this article are scientific mapping and performance analysis. Authors have explained the development and composition of the Foresight J using these methods. The SCOPUS database is being used in current research to analyse several dimensions, such as the evolution of publications by year, the most cited papers, core authors and researchers, leading countries and prolific institutions. Moreover, the conceptual structure, scope, burst detection and co-occurrence analysis of the journal are mapped using network visualization software such as VOSviewer, CiteSpace and RStudio.

Findings

With a strong track record of output over the years, Foresight J has continued to develop in terms of publications. It is determined that “Saritas” is the author with the greatest overall impact. However, according to SCOPUS bibliometric data, “Blackman” and “Richardson” are the authors with the greatest relevance in terms of the quantity of articles. In addition, it becomes apparent that the USA, Australia and the UK are very productive nations in terms of publications. The most popular fields of the journal have always been forecasting, foresight, scenario planning, strategic planning, decision-making, technology and sustainable development. These are also the author keywords that appear the most frequently. In contrast, new study themes in the Foresight J include digital technologies, innovation, sustainability, blockchain, artificial intelligence and sustainability.

Research limitations/implications

Several noteworthy research implications are provided by the bibliometric study of Foresight J. “Saritas” is the author with the most overall impact, indicating that the precise contributions and influence of this researcher in the fields of forecasting, foresight and related fields. Given that “Blackman” and “Richardson” are well-known writers, it is also critical to examine the scope and complexity of their contributions to potentially identify recurring themes or patterns in their writing. The geographic productivity results, which show that the USA, Australia and the UK are the top three countries for Foresight J publications, may encourage more research into regional differences, patterns of collaboration and the worldwide distribution of research endeavours in the context of forecasting and foresight. Popular fields including scenario planning, forecasting, foresight and sustainable development are consistent, indicating persistent research interests. Examining the causes of these subjects’ ongoing relevance can reveal information about the consistency and development of scholarly interests over time.

Practical implications

Foresight J’s bibliometric analysis has real-world applications for many stakeholders. It helps editors and publishers make strategic decisions about outreach and content by providing insights regarding the journal’s influence. Assessing organizational and author productivity helps institutions allocate resources more effectively. Policymakers acquire an instrument to evaluate research patterns and distribute funds efficiently. In general, bibliometric study of a journal helps decisionmakers in academic publishing make well-informed choices that maximize the potential of options for authors, editors, institutions and policymakers.

Social implications

The societal ramifications of bibliometrically analysing Foresight J from 1999 and 2022 are substantial. This analysis highlights, over the past 24 years, research trends, technological developments and societal priorities have changed by methodically looking through the journal’s articles. Gaining knowledge about the academic environment covered by the journal can help raise public awareness of important topics and promote critical thinking. In addition, the analysis can support evidence-based decision-making by alerting decision makers to the influential research that was published in Foresight J. This could have an impact on the course of policies pertaining to innovation, technology and societal development.

Originality/value

This study presents a first comprehensive article that provides a general overview of the main trends and patterns of the research over the Foresight J’s history since its inception. Also, the paper will help the scientific community to know the value and impact of Foresight J.

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来源期刊
Foresight
Foresight REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
5.00%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: ■Social, political and economic science ■Sustainable development ■Horizon scanning ■Scientific and Technological Change and its implications for society and policy ■Management of Uncertainty, Complexity and Risk ■Foresight methodology, tools and techniques
期刊最新文献
Technology foresight in Indonesia: developing scenarios to determine electrical vehicle research priority for future innovation Exploring the relationship between small and medium-sized enterprises innovation and organizational performance: a prospective study on the industrial sector in Ecuador Examining sustainable consumption patterns through green purchase behavior and digital media engagement: a case of Pakistan’s postmillennials Achieving the United Nations sustainable development goals – innovation diffusion and business model innovations Exploring the competitiveness of Indian technological start-ups – the case study approach
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