评估杂货船运营商的运营风险

IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Brodogradnja Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.21278/brod75101
Ji-Feng Ding
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与主流航运服务相比,普通货船(GCS)具有一定的优势,因此在航运市场中具有相当重要的地位。本文的重点是利用风险评估程序对通用货船运营商面临的运营风险进行实证分析,而这一课题在学术界受到的关注相对较少。在确定风险因素后,确定了四个风险方面和 16 个运营风险因素,并利用这些因素构建了基于层次分析法(AHP)的风险矩阵评估模型。然后,利用一份涉及主观和客观方面的专家问卷对模型进行评估,从而将相对权重转换为风险等级。最后,确定每个风险因素的风险领域,从而提出风险管理战略。结果表明,有四个风险因素处于高风险区域,分别是装货阶段因素 "装货港延误"、载货航程阶段因素 "积载和固定不良"、载货航程阶段因素 "海上危险 "和卸货阶段因素 "卸货港延误"。本文还在专家建议的基础上提出了风险管理策略,其研究成果可为船东和租船人在签订租船合同时拟定风险条款提供参考。
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An evaluation of operational risks for general cargo ship operators
As general cargo ships (GCSs) hold certain advantages over more mainstream shipping services, GCSs have a considerable degree of importance in the shipping market. This paper focuses on the use of risk evaluation procedures to perform empirical analysis of the operational risk faced by GCS operators, which is a subject that has garnered relatively little academic attention. After identifying risk factors, four risk aspects and 16 operational risk factors are determined and used to construct an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)-based risk matrix evaluation model. An expert questionnaire addressing both subjective and objective facets is then used to perform evaluation of the model, enabling conversion of the relative weights to risk scales. Lastly, the determination of each risk factor’s risk areas allows the proposal of risk management strategies. The results indicate that four of the risk factors are in the high risk area; these consisted of the loading stage factor “delays at port of loading,” the laden voyage stage factor “poor stowage and securing,” the laden voyage stage factor “perils of the sea,” and the discharging stage factor “delays at port of discharge.” This paper also proposes risk management strategies on the basis of the experts’ recommendations, and its findings can provide shipowners and charterers with a reference for the drafting of risk clauses when entering into a charter party.
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来源期刊
Brodogradnja
Brodogradnja ENGINEERING, MARINE-
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
38.90%
发文量
33
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal is devoted to multidisciplinary researches in the fields of theoretical and experimental naval architecture and oceanology as well as to challenging problems in shipbuilding as well shipping, offshore and related shipbuilding industries worldwide. The aim of the journal is to integrate technical interests in shipbuilding, ocean engineering, sea and ocean shipping, inland navigation and intermodal transportation as well as environmental issues, overall safety, objects for wind, marine and hydrokinetic renewable energy production and sustainable transportation development at seas, oceans and inland waterways in relations to shipbuilding and naval architecture. The journal focuses on hydrodynamics, structures, reliability, materials, construction, design, optimization, production engineering, building and organization of building, project management, repair and maintenance planning, information systems in shipyards, quality assurance as well as outfitting, powering, autonomous marine vehicles, power plants and equipment onboard. Brodogradnja publishes original scientific papers, review papers, preliminary communications and important professional papers relevant in engineering and technology.
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