新兴市场可持续指数之间的波动溢出效应:COVID 前和 COVID 期间的证据

Satyaban Sahoo, Sanjay Kumar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了中国、印度、韩国、泰国、印度尼西亚和马来西亚等新兴市场可持续股票指数之间的动态波动溢出。为了分析这些新兴可持续指数(SIs)在 COVID 前和 COVID 期间的回报、冲击和波动溢出,使用了 BEKK 模型。研究还估算了最佳投资组合权重。结果表明,在前 COVID 和 COVID 期间,可持续指数之间存在收益和波动溢出。中国的可持续指数在影响印度和韩国这两个主要市场的回报率方面占据主导地位。在这两个时期,各市场的 SI 均受到其自身冲击和波动的显著影响。一些成对的 SI 之间存在双向冲击溢出效应。研究还发现,波动溢出效应在 COVID-19 期间更大。令人惊讶的是,这项研究发现,马来西亚的可持续指数在危机期间影响了亚洲其他主要市场的波动性。在 COVID 前和 COVID 阶段,投资组合权重也有利于对马来西亚可持续指数的投资。研究建议利益相关者仔细观察可持续指数的行为,以分散风险。
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Volatility Spillover Among the SustainableIndices of Emerging Markets: Evidence from Pre-COVID and COVID Periods
This study investigated the dynamic volatility spillover among the sustainable stock indices of emerging markets such as China, India, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia. To analyse the return, shock and volatility spillover among these emerging sustainable indices (SIs) during the pre-COVID and COVID periods, the BEKK model has been used. The study also estimated the optimal portfolio weights. The results indicate the presence of return and volatility spillover among the SIs during pre-COVID and COVID periods. The sustainable index of China has been dominant in impacting the return of the two major markets, India and South Korea. The SIs of markets have been significantly affected by their own shock and volatility during both periods. The bi-directional shock spillover effect exists among some pairs of SIs. The study also found that volatility spillover is more during the COVID-19 period. Surprisingly, this research discovered that Malaysia’s sustainable index has impacted the volatility of other major Asian markets during the crisis period. The portfolio weights also favour investments in the sustainable index of Malaysia both in pre-COVID and COVID phases. The study advises the stakeholders to carefully watch the behaviour of SIs to diversify the risk.
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