民主态度的趋势:玻利维亚 2004-2021 年

Daniel E. Moreno Morales
{"title":"民主态度的趋势:玻利维亚 2004-2021 年","authors":"Daniel E. Moreno Morales","doi":"10.14201/rlop.31385","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"After more than a decade of political stability, in 2019 Bolivia suffered a major political crisis that ended with the resignation of a long-standing President, amidst popular unrest after a questioned election. While the crisis was the immediate result of a questionable attempt by the President to skip constitutional term limits, its roots can be found in the declining rates of support and satisfaction with democracy among citizens and in the polarization reaching democratic support. Using survey data from LAPOPs AmericasBarometer, this article finds that national averages for different measures for democratic support show declining trends, and, perhaps more importantly, they also show high levels of polarization, with supporters of the president showing radically different attitudes that those who are critics of the government, particularly during critical times. Cluster analyses performed on the same data indicate that the proportion of individuals who share attitudes that can be considered as “institutionalists” has been declining, while the proportion of those who support extra-powers for the executive and authoritarian alternatives, has increased. The article concludes discussing some risks for Bolivian democracy within its citizens’ attitudes towards democratic institutions.","PeriodicalId":508108,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública","volume":"84 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Trends in Democratic Attitudes: Bolivia 2004-2021\",\"authors\":\"Daniel E. Moreno Morales\",\"doi\":\"10.14201/rlop.31385\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"After more than a decade of political stability, in 2019 Bolivia suffered a major political crisis that ended with the resignation of a long-standing President, amidst popular unrest after a questioned election. While the crisis was the immediate result of a questionable attempt by the President to skip constitutional term limits, its roots can be found in the declining rates of support and satisfaction with democracy among citizens and in the polarization reaching democratic support. Using survey data from LAPOPs AmericasBarometer, this article finds that national averages for different measures for democratic support show declining trends, and, perhaps more importantly, they also show high levels of polarization, with supporters of the president showing radically different attitudes that those who are critics of the government, particularly during critical times. Cluster analyses performed on the same data indicate that the proportion of individuals who share attitudes that can be considered as “institutionalists” has been declining, while the proportion of those who support extra-powers for the executive and authoritarian alternatives, has increased. The article concludes discussing some risks for Bolivian democracy within its citizens’ attitudes towards democratic institutions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":508108,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública\",\"volume\":\"84 \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31385\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31385","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在经历了十多年的政治稳定之后,玻利维亚于 2019 年遭遇了一场重大的政治危机,最终导致长期执政的总统辞职,并引发了选举后的民众骚乱。虽然危机的直接原因是总统试图跳过宪法规定的任期限制,但其根源在于公民对民主的支持率和满意度不断下降,以及民主支持的两极分化。本文利用 LAPOPs AmericasBarometer 的调查数据,发现不同民主支持度量指标的全国平均值呈下降趋势,也许更重要的是,它们还显示出高度的两极分化,总统的支持者与政府的批评者表现出截然不同的态度,尤其是在关键时刻。对同一数据进行的聚类分析表明,持 "制度主义者 "态度的人所占比例在下降,而支持行政部门额外权力和独裁替代方案的人所占比例在上升。文章最后讨论了玻利维亚民主在公民对民主体制的态度方面存在的一些风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Trends in Democratic Attitudes: Bolivia 2004-2021
After more than a decade of political stability, in 2019 Bolivia suffered a major political crisis that ended with the resignation of a long-standing President, amidst popular unrest after a questioned election. While the crisis was the immediate result of a questionable attempt by the President to skip constitutional term limits, its roots can be found in the declining rates of support and satisfaction with democracy among citizens and in the polarization reaching democratic support. Using survey data from LAPOPs AmericasBarometer, this article finds that national averages for different measures for democratic support show declining trends, and, perhaps more importantly, they also show high levels of polarization, with supporters of the president showing radically different attitudes that those who are critics of the government, particularly during critical times. Cluster analyses performed on the same data indicate that the proportion of individuals who share attitudes that can be considered as “institutionalists” has been declining, while the proportion of those who support extra-powers for the executive and authoritarian alternatives, has increased. The article concludes discussing some risks for Bolivian democracy within its citizens’ attitudes towards democratic institutions.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
María Esperanza Casullo y Harry Brown Araúz. El Populismo en América Central. La pieza que falta para comprender un fenómeno global. Buenos Aires: Siglo XXI Editores, 2023. 288 páginas. ISBN 978-987-801-276-6. Aldo Adrián Martínez Hernández. Partidos y sistemas de partidos en América Latina: Éxito electoral y cambio político (1988-2016). Toluca: Instituto Electoral del Estado de México, 2022. 437 páginas. ISBN 978-607-8818-16-7. Legitimando la violencia de manifestantes y policías en protestas sociales: El caso de Chile, 2019-2022 Procedural fairness and political attitudes: unpacking the experiences of victims of intimate partner violence with the police Can Latin American Voters see the Future?
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1