改进俄罗斯投资者按国别分散证券投资组合的方法

Yu.V. Sevryugin, B. A. Chuvakorzin
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摘要

本文介绍了一种形成包括各国证券在内的投资组合的方法。这项研究与马科维茨(G. Markowitz)的投资组合理论密切相关,马科维茨认为,所建立的投资组合只应由经过优化选择的资产组成,并为投资者提供必要的风险收益比。由于按国家分散投资,降低证券投资组合的风险水平成为可能。作者参考了权威分析金融公司 MSCI 的数据,该公司半个多世纪以来一直在编制和发布涵盖世界许多股票市场的指数。论文介绍了 MSCI 国家指数对三类市场的分类,并计算了每一类市场的风险。作者使用标准差来衡量风险。研究的最后阶段是构建相关矩阵,以确定所考虑的指数之间的最小关系。此外,根据相关性分析,作者确定了 "友好 "国家,以形成风险最小的投资组合。这些国家组成的投资组合的风险低于组成投资组合的各个指数的风险。2023 年,当俄罗斯联邦中央银行扩大俄罗斯投资者可购买其股票的国家名单时,本文所考虑的方法可能会变得有意义。
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IMPROVING APPROACHES TO THE DIVERSIFICATION OF THE SECURITIES PORTFOLIO BY COUNTRY FOR RUSSIAN INVESTORS
The paper presents an approach to the formation of an investment portfolio that includes securities of various countries. The study is closely related to the portfolio theory of G. Markowitz, who believed that the created portfolio should consist only of optimally selected assets with the necessary risk-return ratio for the investor. Reducing the risk level of the securities portfolio is possible due to its diversification by country. The authors refer to the data of the authoritative analytical financial company MSCI, which for more than half a century has been compiling and publishing indices covering many stock markets of the world. The paper presented the classification of MSCI country indices for three types of markets, as well as calculated the risks for each of them. As a measure of risk, the authors use the standard deviation. The last stage of the study involves the construction of correlation matrices to determine the smallest relationship between the considered indices. Further, based on the correlation analysis, the authors identified 'friendly' countries for the formation of an investment portfolio with minimal risk. They form a portfolio with less risk than the risk of individual indices that make it up. The approach considered in the paper may become relevant in 2023 when the Central Bank of the Russian Federation expands the list of countries whose shares are available to Russian investors.
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