风热联合发电系统中风力功率预测和 AGC 性能评估的数据驱动方法发展综述

IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Energy and AI Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI:10.1016/j.egyai.2024.100336
Shuai Wang , Bin Li , Guanzheng Li , Botong Li , Hongbo Li , Kui Jiao , Chengshan Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风光热联合发电系统实现了能源互补和优化调度,是构建新型能源系统的重要途径。风光热联合发电系统的安全稳定运行需要准确的数据驱动分析,以保持电力供需的实时平衡。通过总结中国和各国风光热联合发电系统的发展和特点,目前该领域的研究可以明确为两个方面:风电场短期风功率预测和火电机组自动发电控制(AGC)性能评估。对于短期风功率预测,建议以历史数据预处理和人工智能方法为主。我们详细比较了不同数据驱动风电预测方法的技术特点。在 AGC 单元的性能评估方面,全面分析了当前的评估方法,包括 "允许带 "和 "调节里程 "方法,以及传统评估方法在实际工程中的评估失效问题。最后,讨论了 AGC 机组的相对最优动态性能,并总结了风光热联合发电系统中数据驱动研究的未来趋势。
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A comprehensive review on the development of data-driven methods for wind power prediction and AGC performance evaluation in wind–thermal bundled power systems

The wind–thermal bundled power system achieves energy complementarity and optimized scheduling, which is an important way to build a new type of energy system. For the safe and stable operation of the wind–thermal bundled power system, accurate data-driven analysis is necessary to maintain real-time balance between electricity supply and demand. By summarizing the development and characteristics of wind–thermal bundled power system in China and different countries, current research in this field can be clearly defined in two aspects: short-term wind power prediction for wind farms and performance evaluation of automatic generation control (AGC) for thermal power generation units. For short-term wind power prediction, it is recommended to focus on historical data preprocessing and artificial intelligence methods. The technical characteristics of different data-driven wind power prediction methods have been compared in detail. For performance evaluation of AGC units, a comprehensive analysis was conducted on current evaluation methods, including the “permitted-band” and “regulation mileage” methods, as well as the issue of evaluation failure in traditional evaluation methods in practical engineering. Finally, the relative optimal dynamic performance of AGC units was discussed and the future trend of data-driven research in wind–thermal bundled power system was summarized.

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来源期刊
Energy and AI
Energy and AI Engineering-Engineering (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
16.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
64
审稿时长
56 days
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