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DFL-RUL: Decentralised Federated Learning for Battery Remaining Useful Life Estimation on Heterogeneous Edge-to-cloud DFL-RUL:基于异构边缘到云的电池剩余使用寿命估计的分散联邦学习
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100689
Jaber Pournazari , Mo’ath El-Dalahmeh , Dong-Hwan Park , James Marco , Truong Quang Dinh , Jung-Hoon Ahn , Mona Faraji Niri
Accurate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries is essential for reliable and cost-effective electric vehicle operation, yet existing approaches largely rely on centralised training or overlook deployment constraints and data heterogeneity. This paper introduces DFL-RUL, a decentralised federated learning framework specifically designed to address feature-space inconsistency, temporal generalisation, and edge-level feasibility in real-world battery prognostics. Unlike prior federated RUL methods that assume aligned feature representations across clients, DFL-RUL integrates unsupervised, client-side PCA to automatically align heterogeneous sensor features before model aggregation. Local battery degradation is modelled using lightweight LSTM networks, while global knowledge is learned through FedAvg-based aggregation without sharing raw data. To reflect practical forecasting conditions, the framework is evaluated under a forward-in-time validation protocol, where only early-life cycles are available during training. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DFL-RUL achieves accuracy comparable to or exceeding local and centralised baselines, while significantly reducing communication cost and training latency. Moreover, runtime profiling on EV-class edge hardware confirms low inference latency and low energy consumption, validating the framework’s suitability for on-device deployment. These results show that reliable battery RUL estimation can be achieved in a privacy-preserving, hardware-aware, and temporally robust federated setting.
锂离子电池的准确剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测对于电动汽车的可靠和经济运行至关重要,但现有的方法在很大程度上依赖于集中培训,或者忽视了部署限制和数据异质性。本文介绍了DFL-RUL,这是一个分散的联邦学习框架,专门用于解决现实世界电池预测中的特征空间不一致、时间泛化和边缘可行性。与先前的联邦RUL方法(假定跨客户机的特征表示是对齐的)不同,DFL-RUL集成了无监督的客户端PCA,以便在模型聚合之前自动对齐异构传感器特征。局部电池退化使用轻量级LSTM网络建模,而全局知识通过基于fedag的聚合来学习,而不共享原始数据。为了反映实际的预测条件,该框架在前向及时验证协议下进行评估,其中在训练期间只有早期生命周期可用。大量实验表明,DFL-RUL实现了与本地和集中式基线相当或超过后者的精度,同时显著降低了通信成本和训练延迟。此外,ev级边缘硬件上的运行时分析证实了低推理延迟和低能耗,验证了框架对设备上部署的适用性。这些结果表明,在隐私保护、硬件感知和临时健壮的联邦设置中可以实现可靠的电池RUL估计。
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引用次数: 0
Explainable AI for predicting household demand flexibility: Insights from smart meter data and price-based programs 预测家庭需求灵活性的可解释人工智能:来自智能电表数据和基于价格的程序的见解
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100686
Santiago Bañales , Raquel Dormido , Natividad Duro
Unlocking Demand‐Side Flexibility (DSF) at scale is essential for integrating variable renewables and electrified end-uses. We develop a scalable, explainable-AI framework to assess the predictability and drivers of household responsiveness to price-based programs using only data typically available to utilities (smart meters, basic weather, limited socio-economic tags). Using the public Low Carbon London Time-of-Use (ToU) pilot, we first estimate responsiveness with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) at both aggregated and household levels—overall and by hour—to quantify effect sizes and heterogeneity. We then train Gradient-Boosting (GB) models and apply SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to assess the hierarchy and direction of drivers of flexibility. Results show statistically significant but moderate average responses with wide dispersion across households and time-of-day, including a significant percentage of counter-intuitive reactions to price. Features capturing unexplained variability in hourly and daily load (e.g., dispersion measures of residual components) are the strongest positive predictors of flexibility, whereas seasonality/predictability indicators (autocorrelation and seasonal strength) are neutral or negative. SHAP dependence plots reveal clear thresholds, breakpoints, and saturation effects, underscoring the nonlinearity of behavioral response. Because the feature set is derived from routinely collected data, the approach is replicable and operationally practical. The findings enable data-driven targeting of high-potential households and support the design of digital orchestration platforms for near-time demand response, informing tariff design, aggregator strategies, and regulatory guidance for market-based DSF.
大规模释放需求侧灵活性(DSF)对于整合可变可再生能源和电气化终端用户至关重要。我们开发了一个可扩展的、可解释的人工智能框架,仅使用公用事业公司通常可用的数据(智能电表、基本天气、有限的社会经济标签)来评估家庭对基于价格的计划的响应的可预测性和驱动因素。使用公共低碳伦敦使用时间(ToU)试点,我们首先使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)在总体和小时两个总体和家庭层面上估计响应性,以量化效应大小和异质性。然后,我们训练梯度增强(GB)模型,并应用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)来评估灵活性驱动因素的层次和方向。结果显示统计上显著但中等的平均反应,在家庭和一天中的时间分布广泛,包括对价格的反直觉反应的显着百分比。捕捉每小时和每日负荷中无法解释的变异性的特征(例如,剩余成分的分散度量)是灵活性的最强正预测因子,而季节性/可预测性指标(自相关和季节性强度)是中性或负的。SHAP依赖性图显示了清晰的阈值、断点和饱和效应,强调了行为反应的非线性。由于特征集来自常规收集的数据,因此该方法是可复制的,并且在操作上是实用的。研究结果使高潜力家庭的数据驱动定位成为可能,并支持数字编排平台的设计,以实现即时需求响应,为基于市场的DSF的费率设计、聚合策略和监管指导提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
A novel spatiotemporal relation fused network for solar photovoltaic power forecasting 一种新的时空关系融合网络用于太阳能光伏发电功率预测
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100676
Zuming Liu , Songyi Li , Jiaxin Ding , Yi Zheng , Bo Chen , Yijun He
Accurate prediction of solar photovoltaic power is crucial for renewable integration. However, existing methods struggles to simultaneously capture its complex spatial correlation and nonlinear temporal dependencies. Here, we propose a novel spatiotemporal relationship fusion network (STRFN) for short-term prediction of photovoltaic power generation. STRFN uses convolutional neural networks to extract spatial features, long short-term memory networks to capture time dependence, and an attention mechanism to enhance its expressiveness. Additionally, the optimal network hyperparameters of STRFN are identified through Bayesian optimization. Moreover, it employs advanced data preprocessing techniques to improve input data quality. These techniques include feature recognition, principal component analysis, location coding, and sliding window segmentation. Our STRFN is applied to two typical PV systems for demonstration and compared with traditional deep learning models. The results show that our model’s accuracy and stability significantly outperform traditional deep learning models, with RMSE of 2.46 and 0.036, and MAPE of 1.51 % and 1.94 %. Furthermore, in predictions for typical days across four seasons, our STRFN still maintained consistent superior performance—evidenced by its normalized RMSE (NRMSE) of 0.90 % and 0.61 % for the two PV systems. Finally, we integrate data processing, model training, and results visualization together into a one-stop platform and make it user-friendly and easily improved for solar power prediction. Our proposed method along with its forecasting platform can offer valuable insights and guidelines for researchers and PV operators.
太阳能光伏发电的准确预测对可再生能源的整合至关重要。然而,现有的方法难以同时捕获其复杂的空间相关性和非线性时间依赖性。在此,我们提出了一个用于光伏发电短期预测的新型时空关系融合网络(STRFN)。STRFN使用卷积神经网络提取空间特征,使用长短期记忆网络捕获时间依赖性,并使用注意机制增强其表达能力。此外,通过贝叶斯优化确定了STRFN的最优网络超参数。此外,它采用先进的数据预处理技术,以提高输入数据的质量。这些技术包括特征识别、主成分分析、位置编码和滑动窗口分割。我们的STRFN应用于两个典型的光伏系统进行了演示,并与传统的深度学习模型进行了比较。结果表明,该模型的准确性和稳定性显著优于传统深度学习模型,RMSE分别为2.46和0.036,MAPE分别为1.51%和1.94%。此外,在对四季典型天数的预测中,我们的STRFN仍然保持了一致的优越性能,两个光伏系统的标准化RMSE (NRMSE)分别为0.90%和0.61%。最后,我们将数据处理、模型训练和结果可视化集成为一个一站式平台,使其易于用户使用和改进。我们提出的方法及其预测平台可以为研究人员和光伏运营商提供有价值的见解和指导。
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引用次数: 0
A World Model framework with digital twin for scheduling demand-side resources under systemic complexity 系统复杂性下需求侧资源调度的数字孪生世界模型框架
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2025.100660
Xing He , Yikang Bu , Guoquan Yuan , Junjie Yin , Zhuangyan Zhang , Qian Ai , Caiming Qiu
Modern power grids face profound challenges in scheduling massive, heterogeneous demand-side resources (DSRs), whose collective behaviors often lead to systemic unpredictability and scheduling inaccuracies. Traditional methods, often based on simplified models, struggle to manage this emergent complexity. To address this gap, this paper introduces MetaGrid, a novel digital-twin-enhanced World Model framework designed for proactive and prescient DSR scheduling. The MetaGrid architecture is composed of four integral, closed-loop building blocks: a General Simulator for multi-path deduction, a Situational Perceiver for holistic cognition, an Intelligent Decision-Maker for autonomous optimization, and a Unified Verifier for ensuring trustworthy iteration. By integrating principles from complexity science with data-intensive machine learning, MetaGrid creates a high-fidelity metaverse to model and manage DSR ecosystems. The framework’s core capabilities are demonstrated through an energy storage system scheduling case, where an intelligent agent, guided by the World Model, learns to autonomously balance real-time electricity costs against physical battery degradation constraints. This preliminary validation showcases MetaGrid’s potential as a powerful tool for navigating the complexities of future energy systems, transforming scheduling from a reactive control problem into a process of continuous, adaptive learning.
现代电网在调度海量异构需求侧资源(dsr)方面面临着深刻的挑战,这些资源的集体行为往往导致系统的不可预测性和调度不准确性。传统的方法,通常基于简化的模型,难以管理这种突发的复杂性。为了解决这一差距,本文介绍了MetaGrid,这是一种新型的数字孪生增强世界模型框架,旨在实现前瞻性和先见之明的DSR调度。MetaGrid架构由四个完整的闭环构建块组成:一个用于多路径演绎的通用模拟器,一个用于整体认知的情境感知器,一个用于自主优化的智能决策者,以及一个用于确保可信迭代的统一验证器。通过将复杂性科学原理与数据密集型机器学习相结合,MetaGrid创建了一个高保真的元宇宙来建模和管理DSR生态系统。该框架的核心功能通过一个储能系统调度案例来展示,其中智能代理在世界模型的指导下,学习自主平衡实时电力成本和物理电池退化约束。这一初步验证显示了MetaGrid作为导航未来能源系统复杂性的强大工具的潜力,将调度从被动控制问题转变为持续、自适应学习的过程。
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引用次数: 0
Practicality-enhanced behind-the-meter PV power generation disaggregation based on synchronization and transferability fused LSTM framework 实用性增强的基于同步和可转移性融合LSTM框架的光伏发电分解
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100675
Chengye Zhang , Huan Long , Zijun Zhang , Jinde Cao
To facilitate the operation of distribution networks with a large scale of household photovoltaic systems integrated, the availability of community-level behind-the-meter (BTM) PV power generation is crucial. Yet, due to the scarcity of smart meters installed, it is challenging to obtain such information via directly aggregating measured power outputs of individual PV systems, and an effective estimation method needs to be developed. Considering the similarity between household-level and community-level data within the same geographical area, this paper develops a synchronization and model-transfer fused LSTM framework (SAM-LSTM). The core technical contribution lies in the development of the Synchronized Long Short-Term Memory (Syn-LSTM), which separately models the synchronized factors and disaggregated BTM data to capture more generalized representations. The learned household-level representations are then transferred to the community-level. Finally, by explicitly leveraging the complementarity between PV generation and consumption, a dual time-series modeling architecture is developed to refine the initial community-level PV power generation estimates, thereby alleviating potential biases introduced during the model-transfer process. Extensive computational studies are conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of SAM-LSTM in community-level BTM PV power generation disaggregation in real data from Hebei, China. Compared with the best-performing benchmarks, SAM-LSTM achieves up to 56% lower MSE, significantly demonstrating its strong generalization and robustness capabilities.
为了促进大规模家庭光伏系统集成配电网络的运行,社区级电表后(BTM)光伏发电的可用性至关重要。然而,由于安装的智能电表数量稀少,通过直接汇总单个光伏系统的实测功率输出来获取这些信息是具有挑战性的,需要开发一种有效的估算方法。考虑到同一地理区域内家庭级和社区级数据的相似性,本文提出了一种同步和模型转移融合的LSTM框架(SAM-LSTM)。其核心技术贡献在于同步长短期记忆(Syn-LSTM)的发展,它分别对同步因素和分解的BTM数据进行建模,以获取更广义的表征。学习到的家庭层面的表征然后被转移到社区层面。最后,通过明确利用光伏发电和消费之间的互补性,开发了双时间序列建模架构,以改进初始社区级光伏发电估计,从而减轻模型迁移过程中引入的潜在偏差。通过大量的计算研究,验证了SAM-LSTM在社区BTM光伏发电分类中的有效性。与性能最好的基准测试相比,SAM-LSTM的MSE降低了56%,显著证明了其强大的泛化和鲁棒性。
{"title":"Practicality-enhanced behind-the-meter PV power generation disaggregation based on synchronization and transferability fused LSTM framework","authors":"Chengye Zhang ,&nbsp;Huan Long ,&nbsp;Zijun Zhang ,&nbsp;Jinde Cao","doi":"10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100675","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100675","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To facilitate the operation of distribution networks with a large scale of household photovoltaic systems integrated, the availability of community-level behind-the-meter (BTM) PV power generation is crucial. Yet, due to the scarcity of smart meters installed, it is challenging to obtain such information via directly aggregating measured power outputs of individual PV systems, and an effective estimation method needs to be developed. Considering the similarity between household-level and community-level data within the same geographical area, this paper develops a synchronization and model-transfer fused LSTM framework (SAM-LSTM). The core technical contribution lies in the development of the Synchronized Long Short-Term Memory (Syn-LSTM), which separately models the synchronized factors and disaggregated BTM data to capture more generalized representations. The learned household-level representations are then transferred to the community-level. Finally, by explicitly leveraging the complementarity between PV generation and consumption, a dual time-series modeling architecture is developed to refine the initial community-level PV power generation estimates, thereby alleviating potential biases introduced during the model-transfer process. Extensive computational studies are conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of SAM-LSTM in community-level BTM PV power generation disaggregation in real data from Hebei, China. Compared with the best-performing benchmarks, SAM-LSTM achieves up to 56% lower MSE, significantly demonstrating its strong generalization and robustness capabilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34138,"journal":{"name":"Energy and AI","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100675"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A transformer-LSTM network enhanced by EEMD for ultra-short-term wind power forecasting 基于EEMD的超短期风电预测变压器- lstm网络
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100682
YongSheng Wang, Fan Yang, YongSheng Qi, GuangChen Liu, JiaJing Gao, XueHui Wang, ZhenChao Wang
This study aims to improve the dispatch safety and economic efficiency of grid-connected wind power systems by addressing the limitations of traditional ultra-short-term forecasting methods, particularly their inadequate extraction of multi-scale features and limited forecasting accuracy. A short-term wind power forecasting model that integrates signal decomposition with deep learning is proposed. The model first applies Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) to the raw wind power data to reduce non-stationarity and extract multi-scale features. A lightweight Transformer attention mechanism is then employed to model global dependencies, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are incorporated to capture the temporal dynamics of the sequence. The final power forecasting is generated through a fully connected layer. Finally, the Alpha Evolution (AE) algorithm is employed to optimize the model's hyperparameters. Experiments on multiple datasets show that the proposed model outperforms traditional machine learning and deep learning approaches across various evaluation metrics. It achieves higher fitting accuracy, confirming its effectiveness and robustness in multi-scale feature extraction and wind power forecasting.
本研究旨在解决传统超短期预测方法对多尺度特征提取不足、预测精度有限的局限性,提高并网风电系统的调度安全性和经济性。提出了一种将信号分解与深度学习相结合的短期风电预测模型。该模型首先将集成经验模态分解(Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, EEMD)应用于原始风电数据,以减少非平稳性并提取多尺度特征。然后使用轻量级的Transformer注意机制对全局依赖性进行建模,并结合长短期记忆(LSTM)网络来捕获序列的时间动态。最终的功率预测是通过一个全连通层生成的。最后,采用Alpha Evolution (AE)算法对模型的超参数进行优化。在多个数据集上的实验表明,该模型在各种评估指标上优于传统的机器学习和深度学习方法。该方法取得了较高的拟合精度,验证了其在多尺度特征提取和风电预测中的有效性和鲁棒性。
{"title":"A transformer-LSTM network enhanced by EEMD for ultra-short-term wind power forecasting","authors":"YongSheng Wang,&nbsp;Fan Yang,&nbsp;YongSheng Qi,&nbsp;GuangChen Liu,&nbsp;JiaJing Gao,&nbsp;XueHui Wang,&nbsp;ZhenChao Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100682","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100682","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aims to improve the dispatch safety and economic efficiency of grid-connected wind power systems by addressing the limitations of traditional ultra-short-term forecasting methods, particularly their inadequate extraction of multi-scale features and limited forecasting accuracy. A short-term wind power forecasting model that integrates signal decomposition with deep learning is proposed. The model first applies Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) to the raw wind power data to reduce non-stationarity and extract multi-scale features. A lightweight Transformer attention mechanism is then employed to model global dependencies, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are incorporated to capture the temporal dynamics of the sequence. The final power forecasting is generated through a fully connected layer. Finally, the Alpha Evolution (AE) algorithm is employed to optimize the model's hyperparameters. Experiments on multiple datasets show that the proposed model outperforms traditional machine learning and deep learning approaches across various evaluation metrics. It achieves higher fitting accuracy, confirming its effectiveness and robustness in multi-scale feature extraction and wind power forecasting.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34138,"journal":{"name":"Energy and AI","volume":"23 ","pages":"Article 100682"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145926794","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A bi-level advanced control framework for large-scale control of buildings with system-level impact 具有系统级影响的建筑物大规模控制的两级高级控制框架
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100678
Dylan Wald , Olga Doronina , Kathryn Johnson , Ryan King , Michael Sinner , Kevin Griffin , Rohit Chintala , Deepthi Vaidhynathan , Jibonananda Sanyal , Marc Day
Increased electricity consumption combined with new forms of generation is testing the reliability of our grid infrastructure. This work describes a method to improve the reliability of the grid through large-scale advanced building control. This paper develops a bi-level distributed control framework to shift the load of 153 buildings to achieve a system-level objective of tracking a power reference signal. This bi-level control is based on the previously-developed ANPV-MPC, a predictive controller that uses a Bayesian neural network to generate an accurate control model and adapt to changing conditions over time. By shifting the building electricity demand to better match the available power, the grid system supplying the buildings is more reliable as evidenced by the analysis of node voltages across an IEEE 13-bus distribution system. The proposed bi-level control framework tracks the system-level power reference with enough accuracy to regulate node voltages across the IEEE 13-bus distribution system within ANSI limits of ±5%. Additionally, the adaptive nature of ANPV-MPC allows each building across the system to adapt to changing conditions, further amplifying the system-level reliability.
不断增加的电力消耗与新型发电方式相结合,正在考验我们电网基础设施的可靠性。本文介绍了一种通过大型先进建筑控制来提高电网可靠性的方法。本文开发了一种双层分布式控制框架,用于转移153个建筑物的负载,以实现跟踪电源参考信号的系统级目标。这种双级控制基于先前开发的ANPV-MPC,这是一种预测控制器,使用贝叶斯神经网络生成精确的控制模型,并随着时间的推移适应不断变化的条件。通过对IEEE 13总线配电系统节点电压的分析,可以证明通过改变建筑物电力需求以更好地匹配可用电力,为建筑物供电的电网系统更加可靠。所提出的双电平控制框架以足够的精度跟踪系统级功率参考,以在±5%的ANSI限制内调节IEEE 13总线配电系统的节点电压。此外,ANPV-MPC的自适应特性允许整个系统中的每个建筑适应不断变化的条件,进一步增强了系统级的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Spectrogram-driven unsupervised autoencoder with isolation forest and one-class SVM for lab-scale wind turbine blade fault detection 基于隔离森林和一类支持向量机的谱图驱动无监督自编码器用于风力发电机叶片故障检测
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100681
Waqar Ali , Idriss El-Thalji , Knut Erik Teigen Giljarhus , Andreas Delimitis
Wind turbine blades are critical components, and their structural integrity is essential for uninterrupted operation and minimizing downtime. Although various methods are used to monitor the health of wind turbine blades, several research challenges persist, such as the reliance on manual feature engineering and the limited availability of large amounts of labeled data. In this study, a novel approach is proposed that will overcome the limitations of manual feature extraction and label data challenges. In the proposed work, time series vibration signals from the blade are first converted into spectrograms and passed through a CNN-based autoencoder that is trained solely on healthy data to learn a compact latent representation. Anomalies are then flagged in three complementary ways: (i) by thresholding the autoencoder’s reconstruction error, (ii) by applying an Isolation Forest to the latent features, and (iii) by evaluating the same features with a One-Class SVM. The outputs of these detectors are subsequently benchmarked, providing a systematic comparison of their ability to discriminate between vibration-induced faults, such as cracks and erosion, and normal operation on a controlled test-rig dataset, the autoencoder achieves 97.2 % accuracy, outperforming the Isolation Forest and One-Class SVM by 8%–27%. These results demonstrate that zero-label, deep-feature pipelines can deliver reliable and scalable blade-fault detection, paving the way for more cost-effective predictive maintenance in wind farms.
风力涡轮机叶片是关键部件,其结构完整性对于不间断运行和减少停机时间至关重要。尽管有多种方法用于监测风力涡轮机叶片的健康状况,但仍存在一些研究挑战,例如依赖于手动特征工程和大量标记数据的有限可用性。在这项研究中,提出了一种新的方法来克服人工特征提取的局限性和标记数据的挑战。在本文中,来自叶片的时间序列振动信号首先被转换成频谱图,并通过基于cnn的自编码器,该自编码器仅在健康数据上进行训练,以学习紧凑的潜在表示。然后以三种互补的方式标记异常:(i)通过对自编码器的重建误差设置阈值,(ii)通过对潜在特征应用隔离森林,以及(iii)通过使用一类支持向量机评估相同的特征。随后对这些检测器的输出进行基准测试,对它们区分振动引起的故障(如裂纹和侵蚀)和受控试验台数据集的正常运行的能力进行系统比较,自动编码器达到97.2%的准确率,优于隔离森林和一类支持向量机8%-27%。这些结果表明,零标签、深度特征管道可以提供可靠的、可扩展的叶片故障检测,为风电场更具成本效益的预测性维护铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Photovoltaic Knowledge-Informed Neural Network (PKINN): Interpretable power prediction model under Fluctuating Environmental Conditions 光伏知识知情神经网络(PKINN):波动环境下的可解释功率预测模型
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2026.100683
Jialong Pei , Jieming Ma , Ka Lok Man , Martin Gairing
Fluctuating Environmental Conditions (FECs) are a critical barrier to accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting. Existing models often fail to capture abrupt and stochastic fluctuations, leading to reduced forecasting reliability. To address this challenge, this study proposes an interpretable Photovoltaic Knowledge-Informed Neural Network (PKINN). The framework incorporates a Quadratic Explicit Model (QEM) to derive explicit expressions of PV power and transparently capture abrupt variations, while a Fluctuation Allocation Mechanism (FAM) employs a fluctuation sensitivity coefficient to quantify fluctuation intensity and allocate input data to specialized prediction branches. The proposed PKINN framework enables adaptive learning across diverse FECs and enhances forecasting performance. Experimental evaluations on two types of PV modules demonstrate that PKINN reduces the root mean square error by at least 8.73% compared with state-of-the-art models across diverse FECs.
波动环境条件(FECs)是光伏发电(PV)准确预测的关键障碍。现有的模型往往不能捕捉到突然的和随机的波动,导致预测的可靠性降低。为了解决这一挑战,本研究提出了一种可解释的光伏知识知情神经网络(PKINN)。该框架采用二次显式模型(QEM)来推导光伏发电的显式表达式,并透明地捕捉突变变化,而波动分配机制(FAM)采用波动敏感系数来量化波动强度,并将输入数据分配给专门的预测分支。提出的PKINN框架可以实现跨不同fec的自适应学习,并提高预测性能。对两种类型光伏组件的实验评估表明,与不同fec的最先进模型相比,PKINN将均方根误差降低了至少8.73%。
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引用次数: 0
TRACE: Time series representation learning with contrastive embeddings for anomaly detection in photovoltaic systems TRACE:光伏系统异常检测的对比嵌入时间序列表示学习
IF 9.6 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2025.100670
Chandana Priya Nivarthi, Zhixin Huang, Christian Gruhl, Bernhard Sick
Reliable anomaly detection in photovoltaic (PV) inverters is critical for ensuring operational efficiency and reducing maintenance costs in renewable energy systems. We introduce TRACE (Time series Representation learning with Autoencoder-based Contrastive Embeddings), a self-supervised contrastive learning framework for multivariate time series anomaly detection in PV systems. TRACE employs a two-stage architecture: autoencoder-based representation learning with interchangeable backbones followed by contrastive training through a Siamese network. The framework generates semantically coherent augmentations by perturbing autoencoder reconstructions and applies three negative mining strategies to create challenging contrastive pairs. Comprehensive experiments on a real-world PV inverter dataset and two industrial benchmarks demonstrate TRACE’s superiority. Autoencoder-based augmentations deliver a 21.3% relative improvement in mean F1 (0.616 vs. 0.508) over traditional perturbation methods, with TransformerAE emerging as the optimal backbone architecture. While negative sampling strategies show dataset-specific advantages, their impact remains secondary to encoder capacity. TRACE with TransformerAE and reconstruction-error negatives consistently outperforms fourteen state-of-the-art time series anomaly detection methods, achieving highest F1 scores on all the three datasets while maintaining exceptional precision up to 0.99. Visualization analysis confirms TRACE’s capacity for early fault detection up to three days before failure and interpretable embedding separation. The framework addresses the fundamental challenge of label scarcity in industrial monitoring through self-supervised learning, providing a practical and transparent solution for predictive maintenance in PV systems and broader industrial applications.
在可再生能源系统中,可靠的光伏逆变器异常检测对于确保运行效率和降低维护成本至关重要。我们介绍了TRACE(基于自编码器的对比嵌入的时间序列表示学习),这是一个用于光伏系统中多变量时间序列异常检测的自监督对比学习框架。TRACE采用两阶段架构:基于自动编码器的表示学习,具有可互换的主干,然后通过Siamese网络进行对比训练。该框架通过扰动自编码器重构生成语义连贯增强,并应用三种负挖掘策略来创建具有挑战性的对比对。在实际光伏逆变器数据集和两个工业基准上的综合实验证明了TRACE的优势。与传统的扰动方法相比,基于自编码器的增强方法平均F1相对提高了21.3% (0.616 vs. 0.508),其中TransformerAE成为了最佳的骨干架构。虽然负采样策略显示了数据集特定的优势,但它们的影响仍然次于编码器容量。具有TransformerAE和重建误差底片的TRACE始终优于14种最先进的时间序列异常检测方法,在所有三个数据集上获得最高的F1分数,同时保持高达0.99的卓越精度。可视化分析证实了TRACE的早期故障检测能力,可在故障发生前三天进行检测,并可解释嵌入分离。该框架通过自我监督学习解决了工业监控中标签稀缺的基本挑战,为光伏系统和更广泛的工业应用的预测性维护提供了实用和透明的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
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Energy and AI
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