随机地平线下市场模型的超级套期保值定价公式和即期利润套利

Tahir Choulli, Emmanuel Lepinette
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摘要

在本文中,我们考虑离散时间设置,以及由 (S,F,T)$ 描述的市场模型。其中,F 是 "公开 "的信息流,所有代理人都能在超时获得;S 是可交易资产的贴现价格过程;T 是任意随机时间,其发生可能无法通过 F 观察到。这一框架涵盖了信用风险理论环境、人寿保险环境和员工股票期权估值环境。对于停止模型(S^T,G)和基于该模型的各种脆弱索赔,我们解决了超级套期保值定价估值问题及其内在的立即获利套利(以下简称 IP)问题。我们的第一个主要贡献在于挑出了先验和/或信息变化对条件基本上量的影响,这是超级套期保值定价的重要工具。我们的第二个主要贡献在于尽可能明确地描述了超级套期保值价格集合是如何在 T 及其风险的随机性条件下扩展的,同时我们还解决了 (S^T,G) 的 IP 套利问题。第三个主要贡献在于尽可能明确地阐述了脆弱债权的定价公式,并将价格动态中的各种信息风险单独列出。
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Super-hedging-pricing formulas and Immediate-Profit arbitrage for market models under random horizon
In this paper, we consider the discrete-time setting, and the market model described by (S,F,T)$. Herein F is the ``public" flow of information which is available to all agents overtime, S is the discounted price process of d-tradable assets, and T is an arbitrary random time whose occurrence might not be observable via F. Thus, we consider the larger flow G which incorporates F and makes T an observable random time. This framework covers the credit risk theory setting, the life insurance setting and the setting of employee stock option valuation. For the stopped model (S^T,G) and for various vulnerable claims, based on this model, we address the super-hedging pricing valuation problem and its intrinsic Immediate-Profit arbitrage (IP hereafter for short). Our first main contribution lies in singling out the impact of change of prior and/or information on conditional essential supremum, which is a vital tool in super-hedging pricing. The second main contribution consists of describing as explicit as possible how the set of super-hedging prices expands under the stochasticity of T and its risks, and we address the IP arbitrage for (S^T,G) as well. The third main contribution resides in elaborating as explicit as possible pricing formulas for vulnerable claims, and singling out the various informational risks in the prices' dynamics.
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