为更炎热的气候做好准备:对澳大利亚热浪和救护车出动情况的系统回顾和荟萃分析。

IF 2.6 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.anzjph.2023.100115
Mehak Oberai , Zhiwei Xu , Aaron J.E. Bach , Dung Phung , Jessica T. Watzek , Shannon Rutherford
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究目的本研究旨在量化热浪对澳大利亚救护车出诊可能性的影响:我们进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析,检索并综合了2011年1月1日至2023年5月31日期间发表的有关澳大利亚热浪与救护车出诊概率之间关系的证据。我们使用了不同的热浪定义,从过量热量因子到热浪定义,热浪定义为气温超过特定阈值的持续时间(根据研究地点的不同而不同):我们纳入了 9 篇符合纳入标准的论文。其中八篇符合荟萃分析的条件。多层次荟萃分析表明,在热浪天,因各种原因和心血管疾病出动救护车的可能性分别增加了10%(95%置信区间:8%,13%)和5%(95%置信区间:1%,3%):结论:暴露在热浪中与救护车出动的可能性增加有关,热浪严重程度与救护车出动的可能性之间存在剂量反应关系:热浪天数将会增加,这意味着救护车出诊的可能性也会增加,从而凸显出热浪给本已压力重重的医疗保健系统带来的实际负担。这项研究的结果突出表明,我们亟需采取积极主动的措施,包括制定研究计划和开展全面的热健康意识宣传活动,从个人、社区到医疗保健系统,从而建设一个面对热浪相关挑战更具复原力的澳大利亚。
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Preparing for a hotter climate: A systematic review and meta-analysis of heatwaves and ambulance callouts in Australia

Objective

The objective of this study was to quantify the impact of heatwaves on likelihood of ambulance callouts for Australia.

Methods

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to retrieve and synthesise evidence published from 1 January 2011 to 31 May 2023 about the association between heatwaves and the likelihood of ambulance callouts in Australia. Different heatwave definitions were used ranging from excess heat factor to heatwave defined as a continuous period with temperatures above certain defined thresholds (which varied based on study locations).

Results

We included nine papers which met the inclusion criteria for the review. Eight were eligible for the meta-analyses. The multilevel meta-analyses revealed that the likelihood of ambulance callouts for all causes and for cardiovascular diseases increased by 10% (95% confidence interval: 8%, 13%) and 5% (95% confidence interval: 1%, 3%), respectively, during heatwave days.

Conclusions

Exposure to heatwaves is associated with an increased likelihood of ambulance callouts, and there is a dose–response association between heatwave severity and the likelihood of ambulance callouts.

Implications for public health

The number of heatwave days are going to increase, and this will mean an increase in the likelihood of ambulance callouts, thereby, spotlighting the real burden that heatwaves place on our already stressed healthcare system. The findings of this study underscore the critical need for proactive measures, including the establishment of research initiatives and holistic heat health awareness campaigns, spanning from the individual and community levels to the healthcare system, in order to create a more resilient Australia in the face of heatwave-related challenges.

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来源期刊
Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health
Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
5.70%
发文量
121
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health (ANZJPH) is concerned with public health issues. The research reported includes formal epidemiological inquiries into the correlates and causes of diseases and health-related behaviour, analyses of public policy affecting health and disease, and detailed studies of the cultures and social structures within which health and illness exist. The Journal is multidisciplinary and aims to publish methodologically sound research from any of the academic disciplines that constitute public health.
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