将蒙特卡洛模拟与 CRITIC 增强型渭水水库水质评估相结合

Water Supply Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI:10.2166/ws.2024.007
Hui Ye, Libin Chen, K. Zou, Wenqi Wu, Ruming Dan, Yiran Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

传统的水质评价方法往往忽视了水样采集过程中水质数据的不确定性,导致其应用受到限制。因此,本研究将水质综合指数法(CWQI)和基于 CRITIC 的改进 CWQI 法与蒙特卡罗法相结合,对渭水水库流域水质进行了评价。结果表明:(1) 沙溪坪采样点和大岩嘴采样点的水质存在明显差异。沙溪坪采样点的水质为优,水质级别为 I 类;而大岩嘴采样点的水质相对较差,平均水质级别为 III 类。(2) 敏感性分析表明,TN、NH4+-N 和 TP 比其他指标更敏感,表明它们是影响评价结果的主要因素。(3) 与传统的 CWQI 方法相比,基于 CRITIC 的改进 CWQI 方法与 Monte Carlo 方法相结合,更加科学严谨。它考虑了评价指标的多样性,合理分配权重,提供的评价结果更符合季节变化,从而具有更高的判别能力。
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Coupling Monte Carlo simulation with CRITIC-enhanced water quality assessment for the Weishui Reservoir
Traditional methods for water quality assessment often overlook the uncertainty of water quality data during the sample collection process, leading to limitations in their application. Therefore, this study combines the comprehensive water quality index (CWQI) method and the improved CWQI method based on CRITIC with the Monte Carlo method to evaluate the water quality in the Weishui Reservoir watershed. The results indicate that (1) there is a noticeable difference in water quality between the Shaxiping and Dayanzui sampling points. The water quality at the Shaxiping sampling point is excellent, with a water quality classification of Class I. In contrast, the water quality at the Dayanzui sampling point is comparatively poorer, with an average water quality classification of Class III. (2) Sensitivity analysis shows that TN, NH4+-N, and TP are more sensitive than other indicators, suggesting that they are the primary factors influencing the evaluation results. (3) Compared to the traditional CWQI method, combining the CRITIC-based improved CWQI method with the Monte Carlo method is more scientifically rigorous. It considers the variety of evaluation indicators, allocates weights rationally, and provides evaluation results that align better with seasonal variations, resulting in higher discriminative power.
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