达到投票年龄。选举资格影响的自然实验证据

IF 2.9 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102751
Arndt Leininger , Armin Schäfer , Thorsten Faas , Sigrid Roßteutscher
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,一些司法管辖区已经降低了投票年龄,还有更多的司法管辖区正在讨论这一问题。怀疑论者质疑年轻人是否做好了投票的准备,而支持者则认为,允许年轻人投票将提高他们对政治的具体参与度。为了验证后一种观点,我们对超过 10,000 名德国青少年进行了一系列登记调查。在了解了受访者的确切出生日期后,我们采用回归不连续设计估算了投票资格对其信息搜寻行为的因果效应。虽然有投票资格和无投票资格的受访者在基本政治倾向上没有区别,但那些被允许投票的受访者更有可能与家人和朋友讨论政治,也更有可能使用投票建议应用程序。这种效应在 16 岁选民中似乎比 18 岁选民更明显。投票权会改变行为。因此,我们不能从无投票权公民的行为中得出他们不适合投票的结论。
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Coming of voting age. Evidence from a natural experiment on the effects of electoral eligibility

In recent years, several jurisdictions have lowered the voting age, with many more discussing it. Sceptics question whether young people are ready to vote, while supporters argue that allowing them to vote would increase their specific engagement with politics. To test the latter argument, we use a series of register-based surveys of over 10,000 German adolescents. Knowing the exact birthdates of our respondents, we estimate the causal effect of eligibility on their information-seeking behaviour in a regression discontinuity design. While eligible and non-eligible respondents do not differ in their fundamental political dispositions, those allowed to vote are more likely to discuss politics with their family and friends and to use a voting advice application. This effect appears to be stronger for voting age 16 than for 18. The right to vote changes behaviour. Therefore, we cannot conclude from the behaviour of ineligible citizens that they are unfit to vote.

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来源期刊
Electoral Studies
Electoral Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
82
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Electoral Studies is an international journal covering all aspects of voting, the central act in the democratic process. Political scientists, economists, sociologists, game theorists, geographers, contemporary historians and lawyers have common, and overlapping, interests in what causes voters to act as they do, and the consequences. Electoral Studies provides a forum for these diverse approaches. It publishes fully refereed papers, both theoretical and empirical, on such topics as relationships between votes and seats, and between election outcomes and politicians reactions; historical, sociological, or geographical correlates of voting behaviour; rational choice analysis of political acts, and critiques of such analyses.
期刊最新文献
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