Nazimul Islam, Torsten Vennemann, Ulf Büntgen, Paolo Cherubini, Stuart N Lane
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引用次数: 0
摘要
树环研究的最新发展为重建过去的气候变化、确定自然灾害发生的频率以及评估淡水资源的可用性提供了巨大的潜力,其时间尺度远远超过了前仪器时期。在此,我们回顾了喜马拉雅地区的树木年代学研究现状,并概述了该地区基于树环的水文重建的未来方向,因为该地区的社会迫切需要了解过去、现在和未来水文循环变化的原因和后果。我们使用 "树环 "和 "喜马拉雅 "作为关键词,从 Web of Science 中查找 1994 年至 2022 年间发表的学术文章。根据其空间覆盖范围(喜马拉雅西部、中部和东部)及其科学目的(如重建生长与气候的关系、温度、降水、溪流、洪水、干旱等),我们将这 173 篇文章进行了分类。我们的分析表明,喜马拉雅地区的树木年代学研究主要集中在利用针叶树种的年轮宽度测量来了解生长与气候的关系,以及在气候重建中的应用。对溪流等水文过程以及冰川和滑坡湖溃决洪水等极端事件的重建则较少关注。应结合树木年代学的最新进展,包括蓝强度(BI)、定量木材解剖(QWA)和树环稳定同位素(TRSI),提高喜马拉雅山所有地区水文重建的分辨率和准确性。这些研究可以让我们更好地了解气候变化的影响以及喜马拉雅山水资源对其周围低地的影响。这些研究还可以促进决策进程,减轻气候变化对自然灾害的影响,更好地管理该地区的水资源。
Tree-ring hydrological research in the Himalaya: State of the art and future directions
Recent developments in tree-ring research offer great potential for reconstructing past climate changes; determining the frequencies of natural hazards; and assessing the availability of freshwater resources over timescales that extend well into the pre-instrumental period. Here, we review the state of dendrochronological research in the Himalaya and outline future directions for tree-ring-based hydrological reconstructions in a region that has a pressing societal need to understand the causes and consequences of past, present and future changes in the hydrological cycle. We used ‘tree ring’ and ‘Himalaya’ as keywords to identify scholarly articles from the Web of Science that were published between 1994 and 2022. The resulting 173 publications were separated by their spatial coverage into the western, central and eastern Himalaya, as well as their scientific purpose (e.g. reconstructing growth-climate relationships, temperature, precipitation, streamflow, floods, droughts, etc.). Our analysis shows that dendrochronological research in the Himalaya primarily focused on understanding growth-climate relationships using annual tree-ring widths measurements obtained for coniferous species, and their application in climate reconstructions. Reconstructions of hydrological processes such as streamflows, and extremes such as glacial and landslide lake outburst floods, have received less attention. Recent advances in dendrochronology, including blue intensity (BI), quantitative wood anatomy (QWA), and tree-ring stable isotopes (TRSI) should be combined to improve the resolution and accuracy of hydrological reconstructions in all parts of the Himalaya. Such studies may allow us to better understand the effects of climate change and the Himalayan water resources for its lowland surroundings. They may also facilitate decision-making processes for mitigating the impacts of climate change on natural hazards, and for better managing water resources in the region.
期刊介绍:
Progress in Physical Geography is a peer-reviewed, international journal, encompassing an interdisciplinary approach incorporating the latest developments and debates within Physical Geography and interrelated fields across the Earth, Biological and Ecological System Sciences.