日本股市的行业动态:时间和频率分析

Rim El Khoury, Muneer M. Alshater, Onur Polat
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摘要

本研究从时间和频率两个维度考察了日本股票市场不同行业之间的关联性。所用数据集的时间跨度为 1999 年 1 月至 2022 年 4 月,并采用了多种方法,包括时变参数向量自回归、TVP-VAR 频率依赖性和量子一致性。实证研究结果表明,周期性股票或激进股票主要是跨行业冲击的净传播者。此外,与中期溢出效应相比,短期溢出效应更为显著,这表明日本各行业在短期内对市场冲击的影响更为明显。溢出效应也是不对称的,并随时间而变化。此外,房地产行业在不同时间跨度上表现出多样化优势,而能源行业则主要在短期内提供保护。这项研究有助于制定旨在减少行业失衡和促进稳定增长的金融政策。此外,它还为寻求制定最佳投资组合多样化战略的投资者提供了启示。
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Japanese stock market sectoral dynamics: A time and frequency analysis
This study examines the Japanese stock market connectedness across different sectors, focusing on both the time and frequency dimensions. The dataset used spans from January 1999 to April 2022 and employs various methodologies, including time‐varying parameter vector autoregressions, TVP‐VAR frequency dependency, and Quantile coherency. The empirical findings reveal that cyclical or aggressive stocks predominantly act as net transmitters of shocks across sectors. Moreover, short‐term spillovers are more significant compared to intermediate‐term spillovers, indicating that Japanese sectors are more pronounced to market shocks in the short run. The spillover effects are also asymmetric and vary over time. Additionally, the real estate sector exhibits diversification benefits across different time horizons, while the energy sector provides protection primarily in the short run. This research contributes to the development of financial policies aimed at reducing sectoral imbalances and promoting stable growth. Furthermore, it offers insights for investors seeking to devise optimal portfolio diversification strategies.
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