为可持续建筑项目开发多维风险评估模型

I. Y. Wuni
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的可持续建筑重新设计了传统的项目生命周期,以整合可持续发展解决方案。额外的可持续发展要求带来了新的复杂性、挑战和风险,如果不加以解决,可能会破坏可持续建筑项目的成果。本研究为阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)的可持续建筑项目开发了一个多维风险评估模型。研究活动包括全面的文献综述,以筛选出相关风险,分析筛选出的风险的概率和影响等级,并为阿联酋的可持续建筑项目开发一个风险评估模型。该模型是基于多标准框架和模糊合成评估方法的数学表述而开发的。研究结果所开发的模型将可持续建筑项目的总体风险水平量化为 3.71(5 点李克特量表),表明阿联酋可持续建筑项目的投资存在风险,应谨慎管理。开发的模型进一步显示,由管理风险(3.82)、技术风险(3.78)、利益相关者风险(3.68)、监管风险(3.66)、材料风险(3.53)和经济风险(3.502)组成的各风险组对实现可持续建筑项目的典型成果构成重大威胁。
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Developing a multidimensional risk assessment model for sustainable construction projects
PurposeSustainable construction re-engineers the conventional project lifecycle to integrate sustainability solutions. The additional sustainability requirements introduce new layers of complexity, challenges and risks that if unaddressed, can derail the gains in sustainable construction projects. This study developed a multidimensional risk assessment model for sustainable construction projects in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).Design/methodology/approachThe research activities a comprised comprehensive literature review to shortlist relevant risks, an analysis of the probability – impact rating of the shortlisted risks – and the development of a risk assessment model for SC projects in the UAE. The model is developed based on the multicriteria framework and mathematical formulation of the fuzzy synthetic evaluation approach.FindingsThe developed model quantified the overall risk level in sustainable construction projects to be 3.71 on a 5-point Likert scale, indicating that investment in SC projects in the UAE is risky and should be carefully managed. The developed model further revealed that each of the risk groups, comprising management (3.82), technical (3.78), stakeholder (3.68), regulatory (3.66), material (3.53) and economic risks (3.502), presents a significant threat to realizing outcomes typical of SC projects.Originality/valueThis study developed a multidimensional risk assessment model capable of objectively quantifying the overall risk level and provides decision support to project teams to improve risk management in sustainable construction projects.
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