国际能源机构成员国按发电量分列的二氧化碳排放量的多元分析

Daiane Santos, Tuany Esthefany Barcellos de Carvalho Silva, Reinaldo Souza Castro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为全球变暖的主要催化剂,二氧化碳()的浓度在 2021 年平均达到百万分之 414.7,比 2020 年高出百万分之 2.3。根据国际能源机构的数据,这一浓度是至少 80 万年来的最高记录。由于这一现象导致的全球气温升高可能会造成严重的、不可逆转的影响,因此 "臭氧浓度 "的增加日益受到科学界和环保组织的关注。这一话题在全球分析中占据了一席之地,而且越来越频繁地出现。本研究旨在讨论和分析这一讨论的要点。通过这项研究,可以指出巴西是一个一直在大幅减少排放的国家,与国际能源机构(IEA)成员国一起成为排放最少的国家。通过这篇文章,我们可以指出各国排放量之间的相似特征,从而可以突出三个潜在变量:排放量始终保持较高或较低趋势的国家;在分析期开始时呈上升趋势,但随着时间的推移排放量大幅减少的国家;以及与其他国家的行为差异较大的国家,即按发电量计算的排放量时间序列中存在结构性细分的国家。
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Multivariate Analysis of CO2 Emissions by Energy Generation in IEA Member Countries
The concentration of carbon dioxide (), the main catalyst for global warming, reached an average of 414.7 parts per million in 2021 and 2.3 ppm more than in 2020. This concentration of  is the highest recorded in at least 800,000 years, according to the International Energy Agency. The increase in the concentration of  is a growing concern in the scientific community and environmental organizations since the increase in global temperature resulting from this phenomenon can lead to serious and irreversible effects. This topic has gained space in global analyse and has become increasingly recurrent. This research aimed to deal with and analysed essential points in this discussion. With the study, it was possible to point out evidence that Brazil is a country that has been significantly reducing its  emissions, being in the cluster along with IEA member countries that least issue . With this article, it was possible to point out similar characteristics between the  emissions of the countries, making it possible to highlight three latent variables: countries that have a constant tall or low trend in emissions, Grouping of countries that showed an upward trend at the beginning of the analysed period, but with a significant reduction over time,  and countries that have had more discrepant behaviour from the others, these being the countries that have a structural breakdown in their time series of  emissions by power generation.
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