中欧和东南欧联盟进出口流量的趋同与经济发展

L. Duguleană, K. Deszke
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究介绍了国际贸易流量(出口/进口)与作为国际经济贸易主要驱动力的经济发展(国内生产总值)之间的长期和短期关系。面板数据计量经济学模型强调八个中欧和东南欧联盟国家的固定效应。满足协整条件即可确定长期均衡的存在。误差修正模型是出口和进口长期关系的迭代短期调整方案。区域贸易趋同是通过观察分析变量的协整关系来实现的;它由所有国家的平均水平来描述。
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Convergence of Export-Import Flows and Economic Development in the Central and Southeast European Union
The study presents the long- and short-term relationship between international trade flows (exports/imports) and economic development (GDP) as the main driver of international economic trade. Panel data econometric models emphasize the fixed effects of the eight Central and Southeast European Union countries. The cointegration condition is met to identify the existence of long-run equilibrium. The error correction model is the iterative short-run adjustment solution to the long-run relationship for both exports and imports. Regional trade convergence is achieved by observing the cointegration of the analyzed variables; it is described by their average levels for all countries.
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