教皇弗朗西斯、罗马天主教会和拉丁美洲公民对气候变化的态度

Alejandro Ecker, Friederike Nüssel, Jale Tosun
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摘要

关于宗教态度与对气候变化和其他环境问题的态度之间关系的研究往往集中在美国。虽然我们有充分的理由期待这种关系的存在,但我们对这种关系的理解首先受到了国家比较研究数量有限的限制。本研究旨在通过调查对教会的信任和对教皇方济各的评价如何影响拉美人对人为气候变化的看法来缩小这一差距。我们的研究基于 2017 年拉丁美洲调查(Latinobarómetro)的数据,受访者来自 18 个拉丁美洲国家的 13,472 人。我们的研究结果显示,与福音派基督徒和不属于任何教派或其他教派的受访者相比,罗马天主教徒不太可能相信人为气候变化。我们发现,对(天主教)教会的信任与对人为气候变化的信念之间存在同样的负相关关系。然而,对教皇弗朗西斯的积极评价却产生了积极影响,而且这种评价对教会信任对结果变量的影响也产生了积极的调节作用。这些发现对气候政策具有重要意义,因为它们表明,如果罗马天主教会在其地区教区,而不是主要是教皇,在气候变化问题上采取更一致、更积极的立场并进行沟通,那么公众对气候行动的需求可能会增加。
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Pope Francis the Roman Catholic Church and citizen attitudes towards climate change in Latin America
Studies on the relationship between religious attitudes and attitudes towards climate change and other environmental issues have tended to focus on the United States. While there is good reason to expect such a relationship to exist, our understanding of it is limited first and foremost by the limited number of country-comparative studies. This study aims to reduce this gap by investigating how trust in the Church and evaluations of Pope Francis affect the views of Latin Americans on anthropogenic climate change. Our study is based on data from the 2017 Latinobarómetro with 13,472 respondents based in 18 Latin American countries. Our findings reveal that Roman Catholics are less likely to believe in manmade climate change as compared to evangelical Christians and respondents belonging to no or any other denomination. We obtain the same negative relationship between trust in the (Catholic) Church and belief in anthropogenic climate change. However, favourable assessments of Pope Francis have a positive effect, and this assessment also has a positive moderating effect on the impact of trust in the Church on the outcome variable. These findings have important implications for climate policies, as they suggest that the public demand for climate action might increase if the Roman Catholic Church in their regional dioceses, rather than mostly the Pope, were to take and communicate a more coherent, affirmative position on climate change.
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