通过三重底线框架建立低碳经济模型

IF 4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Economic Change and Restructuring Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI:10.1007/s10644-024-09693-y

Weiqing Sun, Xingkuan Yin

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的重点是利用三重底线（TBL）框架，在 20 个亚洲发展中经济体中建立低碳经济模式。通过分析 2000 年至 2021 年的年度数据，我们发现了一些重要的启示。消费者价格指数（CPI）对绿色增长指数（GGI）有显著影响，CPI 上升 1%，GGI 长期下降 0.48%，短期下降 0.36%。外国直接投资（FDI）的增加会抑制 GGI 的增长，1%的增长会导致 GGI 长期下降 0.32%，短期下降 0.25%。社会变量显示了细微的影响，而环境因素则突出了碳足迹的阻碍作用和林地表面的激励作用。建议包括采用以 TBL 为基础的方法、解决通货膨胀问题、促进可持续的外国直接投资、优先考虑社会发展、采取措施抑制碳排放，同时鼓励植树造林和保护举措。

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Low-carbon economy modeling through triple bottom line framework

This study focuses on establishing a low-carbon economic model across 20 developing Asian economies using the triple bottom line (TBL) framework. Analyzing annual data from 2000 to 2021 reveals key insights. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly impacts the Green Growth Index (GGI), with a 1% CPI increase associated with a 0.48% long-term and 0.36% short-term GGI decrease. Increased foreign direct investment (FDI) acts as a deterrent to GGI motivation, with a 1% rise linked to a 0.32% long-term and 0.25% short-term GGI decrease. Social variables show nuanced impacts, while environmental factors highlight carbon footprint as a barrier and forest land surface as a motivator. Recommendations include adopting a TBL-informed approach, addressing inflation, promoting sustainable FDI, prioritizing social development, and implementing measures to curb carbon emissions, alongside encouraging afforestation and conservation initiatives.

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来源期刊

Economic Change and Restructuring ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

4.80

自引率

6.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Economic Change and Restructuring has been accepted for SSCI and will get its first Impact Factor in 2020!Since the early 1990s fundamental changes in the world economy, under the auspices of increasing globalisation, have taken place On one hand, the disappearance of the centrally planned economies and the progressive formation of market-oriented economies, have brought about countless systematic changes, where new economic structures, institutions, competences and skills involve complex processes, changes which are still underway and which necessitate adaptation and restructuring to form competitive market economies. On the other hand, many developing economies are making great strides as regards economic reform and liberalisation, and are emerging as new global players. They show an innovative capacity to position themselves in the global economy and to compete with industrialised countries, which are generally believed to be witnessing the rapid erosion of their established positions. These developments are accompanied by the exacerbation of the world competition. Both processes involve transition and the emerging economies, in searching for a new role and scope for public policies and for a new balance between public and private partnership, seem to currently be converging, especially with respect to the policies needed to create appropriate and effective market institutions and integrated reform policies, and to increase the standards of the population''s education levels. Thus, liberalisation and development policies, in attempting to strike a difficult balance between social and environmental needs, must be integrated more coherently. This complexity calls for new analytical and empirical approaches that can explain these new phenomena, which often go beyond the over-simplified facts and conventional ''wisdom'' that emerged at the start of the transition in the early 1990s. Economic Change and Restructuring (formerly ''Economics of Planning''), by keeping abreast of developments affecting both transitional and emerging economies, is aimed to attract original empirical and policy analysis contributions that are focused on various issues, including macroeconomic analysis, fiscal issues, finance and banking, industrial and trade development, and regional and local development issues. The journal aspires to publish cutting edge research and to serve as a forum for economists and policymakers working in these fields.Officially cited as: Econ Change Restruct