{"title":"将参数化死亡率指数应用于实践:死亡率改善中随机社会经济差异的广义 CBD 模型","authors":"Kenneth Q. Zhou, Johnny S.-H. Li, Pintao Lyu","doi":"10.1057/s41288-024-00318-z","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The concept of CBD mortality indexes was proposed in 2014. While it has been shown that the use of CBD mortality indexes can effectively reduce longevity risk exposures in idealized settings, the risk mitigation potential of such indexes in a more realistic environment, whereby, for example, population basis risk exists, is yet to be investigated. This research gap is addressed in this paper through the development of a generalized CBD model with stochastic socioeconomic differentials in mortality improvements. The proposed model incorporates possible co-integration effects between mortality dynamics of socioeconomic subgroups and the general population, and features a form of coherence that is less restrictive than the typically assumed full coherence. This paper is concluded with various numerical experiments that are conducted to demonstrate the possible bias in hedge effectiveness that may be resulted if the key features of the proposed model are altered.</p>","PeriodicalId":75009,"journal":{"name":"The Geneva papers on risk and insurance. Issues and practice","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bringing parametric mortality indexes to practice: a generalized CBD model with stochastic socioeconomic differentials in mortality improvements\",\"authors\":\"Kenneth Q. Zhou, Johnny S.-H. Li, Pintao Lyu\",\"doi\":\"10.1057/s41288-024-00318-z\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>The concept of CBD mortality indexes was proposed in 2014. While it has been shown that the use of CBD mortality indexes can effectively reduce longevity risk exposures in idealized settings, the risk mitigation potential of such indexes in a more realistic environment, whereby, for example, population basis risk exists, is yet to be investigated. This research gap is addressed in this paper through the development of a generalized CBD model with stochastic socioeconomic differentials in mortality improvements. The proposed model incorporates possible co-integration effects between mortality dynamics of socioeconomic subgroups and the general population, and features a form of coherence that is less restrictive than the typically assumed full coherence. This paper is concluded with various numerical experiments that are conducted to demonstrate the possible bias in hedge effectiveness that may be resulted if the key features of the proposed model are altered.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":75009,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"The Geneva papers on risk and insurance. Issues and practice\",\"volume\":\"20 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"The Geneva papers on risk and insurance. Issues and practice\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1057/s41288-024-00318-z\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Geneva papers on risk and insurance. Issues and practice","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1057/s41288-024-00318-z","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Bringing parametric mortality indexes to practice: a generalized CBD model with stochastic socioeconomic differentials in mortality improvements
The concept of CBD mortality indexes was proposed in 2014. While it has been shown that the use of CBD mortality indexes can effectively reduce longevity risk exposures in idealized settings, the risk mitigation potential of such indexes in a more realistic environment, whereby, for example, population basis risk exists, is yet to be investigated. This research gap is addressed in this paper through the development of a generalized CBD model with stochastic socioeconomic differentials in mortality improvements. The proposed model incorporates possible co-integration effects between mortality dynamics of socioeconomic subgroups and the general population, and features a form of coherence that is less restrictive than the typically assumed full coherence. This paper is concluded with various numerical experiments that are conducted to demonstrate the possible bias in hedge effectiveness that may be resulted if the key features of the proposed model are altered.