按揭借款与老年慢性病结果:从健康与退休研究的生物标记物数据中获得的证据

Alec Rhodes, Stephanie Moulton, Cäzilia Loibl, Donald Haurin, Joshua Joseph
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摘要

目标 疾病的医疗诊断在老年人中很常见,并可能带来巨大的经济损失。对于许多老年人来说,住房资产是他们财富的主要组成部分;然而,住房财富是非流动性的。我们分析了通过抵押贷款变现住房财富与老年房主成功控制疾病的能力之间的关系。方法 我们使用了 1998-2016 年健康与退休研究中 65 岁及以上房主的数据(N=3457)。我们使用生物标志物和身体健康指标来衡量糖尿病、心脏病、高血压、肺病或癌症医疗诊断后的疾病控制情况。随机效应线性概率和工具变量回归估计了住房财富、新抵押贷款和疾病控制之间的关系。结果 从描述性角度看,28% 的以房屋净值借款的老年房主未控制疾病,而未借款者的这一比例为 33%。面板数据工具变量回归显示,确诊后每借贷 1 万美元,疾病未得到控制的概率就会降低 17 个百分点。讨论 许多老年人没有能力或不愿意变现住房财富,借贷能力也取决于房屋价值的变化。因此,住房财富并不是一个统一的健康社会决定因素,而是受老年人参与金融市场的影响。
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Mortgage Borrowing and Chronic Disease Outcomes in Older Age: Evidence from Biomarker Data in the Health and Retirement Study
Objective The medical diagnosis of a disease is common in older age and can carry significant financial costs. For many older adults, equity in a home is their primary component of wealth; however, housing wealth is illiquid. We analyze the relationship between the liquidation of housing wealth through mortgage borrowing on older homeowners’ ability to successfully control a disease. Methods We use data on homeowners age 65 and older from the 1998-2016 waves of the Health and Retirement Study (N=3,457). We use biomarkers and physical health indicators to measure disease control following a medical diagnosis of diabetes, heart condition, high blood pressure, lung disease, or cancer. Random effects linear probability and instrumental variable regressions estimate the associations of housing wealth, new mortgage borrowing, and disease control. Results Descriptively, 28% of older homeowners who borrow against home equity are not controlled on their disease, compared to 33% of non-borrowers. Panel data instrumental variable regressions show that each $10,000 borrowed from home equity after diagnosis is associated with a 17 percentage-point reduction in the probability of the disease not being controlled. Discussion Many older adults are not able or willing to liquidate housing wealth, and the ability to borrow also depends on changes in home values. Thus, housing wealth is not a uniform social determinant of health but is shaped by older adults’ participation in financial markets.
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