The Method of the Probability Analysis of Area with Dissolved Gases in Power Transformer Insulating Oil

Transformer insulating oil plays an extremely important role in power transformers and is used for insulation, arc suppression, cooling and other purposes. However, its other focus is on dissolved gases analysis in the oil to monitor internal operating conditions, which is the responsibility of preventive maintenance. This paper uses the normal distribution theory and the American National Standard Specification (hereinafter referred to as ANSI/IEEE C57.104) to reorganize as a diagnostic tool. The range of each gas from three stages of the specification - normal, caution, and abnormal are incorporated to a stage of abnormal, which divide into equal different values of 1000 as the maternal body of a qualitative normal distribution. Then the benchmark is been calculated from those parameters of a qualitative normal distribution. The data of detection has to pass through "Gas chromatography” to generate dissolved gases.  At last, the benchmark value compares with dissolved gases to find the abnormal probability value as a diagnostic tool in maintenance evaluation of equipment. This method was developed using EXCEL application software, and repeatedly tested and verified with examples to confirm its feasibility and high accuracy. In addition, 10 cases accident data were extracted from the literature [11], and compared with the actual maintenance results. The accuracy was 80% for ANSI/IEEE C57.104 and 90% for this probability method. Therefore, this diagnostic method can replace the traditional multi-stage judgment and be represented by a single probability value to show.  Based on technology sharing, the development process is specially written into a technical article as reference by scholars and electrical maintenance personnel in the field of power engineering. Design Methods: Making a qualitative normal distribution employs EXCEL software and the discriminative rule of ANSI/IEEE C57.104.  Design Purpose: As a diagnostic tool with dissolved gases in insulating oil.  Design Effectiveness: Probability Method is better than traditional; it has those efficacies - the accuracy and feasibly and compete with tried and tested actual case.