基于功率预测的复合电力船预测控制能源管理策略研究

Q3 Engineering EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI:10.4108/ew.4653
Haotian Chen, Xixia Huang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一个解决方案,以解决复合电力电力船预测性能源管理策略中因功率预测不准确而导致能源损耗上升的问题。该解决方案包括开发一个功率预测模型,该模型集成了阿基米德算法、优化变分模态分解和 BiLSTM。在模型预测控制的框架内,利用该预测模型进行功率预测,将全局优化问题转化为优化预测时域内各电源之间的功率输出分配问题,然后将优化目标定为使复合电力系统的能量损失最小,并采用动态编程算法解决预测时域内的优化问题。仿真结果表明,与 AOA-BiLSTM 功率预测模型相比,本研究引入的功率预测模型的预测精度显著提高了 52.61%。同时,与基于 AOA-BiLSTM 的预测模型控制策略相比,利用本研究提出的预测模型的能源管理策略可减少 1.02% 的能源损耗,与基于标尺的策略相比,可减少 15.8% 的能源损耗。
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Research on Predictive Control Energy Management Strategy for Composite Electric Ship Based on Power Forecasting
A proposed solution is presented to address the issue of rising energy loss resulting from inaccurate power prediction in the predictive energy management strategy for composite electric power electric ship. The solution involves the development of a power prediction model that integrates Archimedes' algorithm, optimized variational modal decomposition, and BiLSTM. Within the framework of Model Predictive Control, this predictive model is utilized for power forecasting, transforming the global optimization problem into one of optimizing the power output distribution among power sources within the predictive time domain, then the optimization objective is to minimize the energy loss of the composite electric power system, and a dynamic programming algorithm is employed to solve the optimization problem within the forecast time domain. The simulation findings demonstrate a significant enhancement in the forecast accuracy of the power prediction model introduced in this study, with a 52.61% improvement compared to the AOA-BiLSTM power prediction model. Concurrently, the energy management strategy utilizing the prediction model proposed in this research shows a 1.02% reduction in energy loss compared to the prediction model control strategy based on AOA-BiLSTM, and a 15.8% reduction in energy loss compared to the ruler-based strategy.
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来源期刊
EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web
EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web Energy-Energy Engineering and Power Technology
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊介绍: With ICT pervading everyday objects and infrastructures, the ‘Future Internet’ is envisioned to undergo a radical transformation from how we know it today (a mere communication highway) into a vast hybrid network seamlessly integrating knowledge, people and machines into techno-social ecosystems whose behaviour transcends the boundaries of today’s engineering science. As the internet of things continues to grow, billions and trillions of data bytes need to be moved, stored and shared. The energy thus consumed and the climate impact of data centers are increasing dramatically, thereby becoming significant contributors to global warming and climate change. As reported recently, the combined electricity consumption of the world’s data centers has already exceeded that of some of the world''s top ten economies. In the ensuing process of integrating traditional and renewable energy, monitoring and managing various energy sources, and processing and transferring technological information through various channels, IT will undoubtedly play an ever-increasing and central role. Several technologies are currently racing to production to meet this challenge, from ‘smart dust’ to hybrid networks capable of controlling the emergence of dependable and reliable green and energy-efficient ecosystems – which we generically term the ‘energy web’ – calling for major paradigm shifts highly disruptive of the ways the energy sector functions today. The EAI Transactions on Energy Web are positioned at the forefront of these efforts and provide a forum for the most forward-looking, state-of-the-art research bringing together the cross section of IT and Energy communities. The journal will publish original works reporting on prominent advances that challenge traditional thinking.
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