非静水模型 RegCM4.7 模拟的华北冬小麦灌溉对气候的影响

IF 6.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI:10.1016/j.accre.2024.04.002
Jia Wu , Zhen-Yu Han , Xue-Jie Gao , Zheng-Jia Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

量化冬小麦灌溉对华北地区气候和极端气候事件发生的影响对于区域适应规划至关重要。以往的相关研究主要集中于对地表过程的影响,但很少有研究利用高分辨率非静水区域气候模式研究极端事件的影响。本文将 9 千米分辨率的非静力学 RegCM4.7 与作物灌溉方案和更新的冬小麦灌溉数据集相结合,以更好地模拟灌溉效应。分别进行了有冬小麦灌溉和无冬小麦灌溉的两次实验,以隔离灌溉的影响。结果表明,灌溉模拟减少了模型在温度、降水、潜热通量、土壤水分、敏感热通量和表层土壤水分方面的偏差。此外,灌溉模拟还减少了偏差,提高了与灌溉区观测数据的相关性,尤其是在夏季,这表明灌溉方案得到了更好的体现。在华北灌溉区,冬小麦灌溉往往会导致当地地表最高、最低和平均气温大幅下降(分别为-1.68、-0.34和-0.79 °C),其中最高气温的变化最大。此外,春季和夏季降水量增加,这与大气低层的水汽输送密切相关。进一步的分析表明,年平均高温日数减少(-13.9 天),而灌溉区的舒适日数(+10.2 天)和雨日数(总降水量大于 1 毫米的天数:+6.6 天)都增加了,这显示了对人类感知和农业的有益反馈。幸运的是,虽然热浪风险增加(年平均热浪日数:+5.8 d),但影响仅限于灌溉区内的小块区域。此外,在暴雨事件和降水强度方面没有发现明显的变化,这可能是由于模型模拟用水量较少造成的估计不足。虽然冬小麦灌溉对周边地区气候的影响并不明显,但却是影响当地气候的重要因素。
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Climatic impacts induced by winter wheat irrigation over North China simulated by the nonhydrostatic RegCM4.7

Quantification of the impact of winter wheat irrigation on the climate and the occurrence of extreme climatic events over North China is crucial for regional adaptation planning. Previous related studies mainly focused on the impact on surface processes; however, few focused on the effects of extreme events using high-resolution nonhydrostatic regional climate models. Here, the 9-km-resolution nonhydrostatic RegCM4.7 was coupled with a crop irrigation scheme and an updated winter wheat irrigation dataset to better simulate irrigation effects. Two experiments were conducted with and without winter wheat irrigation to isolate the effects of irrigation. Results showed that irrigation simulation reduces the model biases in temperature, precipitation, latent heat flux, soil moisture, sensitive heat flux, and top-layer soil moisture. Moreover, it also reduces the bias and increases the correlation with observations obtained in irrigated areas, especially in summer, indicating better representation of irrigation schemes. Winter wheat irrigation tends to cause substantial cooling of the local surface maximum, minimum, and mean air temperatures (by −1.68, −0.34, and −0.79 °C, respectively) over irrigated areas of North China, with the largest changes observed in relation to maximum temperature. Additionally, precipitation is found to increase during spring and summer, which is strongly related to water vapor transport in the lower levels of the atmosphere. Further analyses indicated that the number of annual mean hot days decrease (−13.9 d), whereas the number of both comfort days (+10.2 d) and rainy days (days with total precipitation greater than 1 mm: +6.6 d) increase over irrigated areas, demonstrating beneficial feedback to human perception and agriculture. Fortunately, although the heat wave risk increases (number of annual mean heat wave days: +5.8 d), the impact is limited to small areas within irrigated region. Additionally, no notable change was found in terms of heavy rainfall events and precipitation intensity, which might be an undereastimation caused by the less water use in model simulation. Although winter wheat irrigation does not have notable impact on the climate of the surrounding region, it is an important factor for the local-scale climate.

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来源期刊
Advances in Climate Change Research
Advances in Climate Change Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
4.10%
发文量
424
审稿时长
107 days
期刊介绍: Advances in Climate Change Research publishes scientific research and analyses on climate change and the interactions of climate change with society. This journal encompasses basic science and economic, social, and policy research, including studies on mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Advances in Climate Change Research attempts to promote research in climate change and provide an impetus for the application of research achievements in numerous aspects, such as socioeconomic sustainable development, responses to the adaptation and mitigation of climate change, diplomatic negotiations of climate and environment policies, and the protection and exploitation of natural resources.
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