交通流量预测的机器学习方法建议

Mariaelena Berlotti, Sarah Di Grande, Salvatore Cavalieri
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摘要

全球快速城市化导致城市人口不断增长,给交通管理带来了挑战。尽管人们试图缓解交通拥堵、环境污染和安全风险等长期存在的问题,但这些问题依然阻碍着城市的发展。本文的重点是准确预测交通流量的迫切需要,这被认为是遏制城市交通拥堵的主要有效解决方案之一。本文通过提出一种两级机器学习方法来应对交通流量预测的挑战。第一层使用无监督聚类模型从传感器生成的数据中提取模式,第二层则使用有监督的机器学习模型。虽然建议的方法需要交通传感器的数据来实现机器学习模型的训练,但它允许在没有传感器的城市地区进行交通流量预测。为了验证所提方法的预测能力,我们考虑了一个真实的城市场景。
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Proposal of a Machine Learning Approach for Traffic Flow Prediction
Rapid global urbanization has led to a growing urban population, posing challenges in transportation management. Persistent issues such as traffic congestion, environmental pollution, and safety risks persist despite attempts to mitigate them, hindering urban progress. This paper focuses on the critical need for accurate traffic flow forecasting, considered one of the main effective solutions for containing traffic congestion in urban scenarios. The challenge of predicting traffic flow is addressed by proposing a two-level machine learning approach. The first level uses an unsupervised clustering model to extract patterns from sensor-generated data, while the second level employs supervised machine learning models. Although the proposed approach requires the availability of data from traffic sensors to realize the training of the machine learning models, it allows traffic flow prediction in urban areas without sensors. In order to verify the prediction capability of the proposed approach, a real urban scenario is considered.
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