沿岸脆弱性指数是合适的指数吗?审查并提出沿海地区易受海平面上升影响的替代指数

IF 1.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Geo-Marine Letters Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI:10.1007/s00367-024-00770-9
Javier Alcántara-Carrió, Luz Marleny García Echavarría, Alfredo Jaramillo-Vélez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

海岸脆弱性指数(CVI)已在世界各地广泛应用。本研究对 CVI 的变量和数学表达的适用性进行了审查,并提出了新的综合沿海脆弱性指数 (ICVI),对加勒比海南部 4 个研究地区的这两个指数进行了比较。综合沿海脆弱性指数通过整合环境脆弱性指数(EVI)和社会经济脆弱性指数(SVI)来评估面对海平面上升的脆弱性。关于构成这些指数的变量,需要指出的是,CVI 包括脆弱性和灾害变量,因此应将其视为风险指数而非脆弱性指数。生态脆弱性指数(EVI)与地貌脆弱性指数(CVI)一样,包括地貌脆弱性变量和生态脆弱性变量。在数学表达方面,根据对 4 个研究区域的 EVI 和 SVI 所获结果的比较,讨论了算术平均值与 CVI 拟议公式的使用问题。此外,还讨论了在这些指数中使用绝对限值(介于 0 和 1 之间)还是相对限值(基于百分位数),以及是否使用权重。结论是,在任何研究中,使用相对阈值必然会迫使确定非常低到非常高的脆弱性区,而对变量使用加权则会增加评估的主观性,所有这些都妨碍了指数在全球范围内的可比性。因此,在全球范围内使用基于算术平均值公式的国际脆弱程度指数(ICVI),其绝对限值介于 0 和 1 之间,且不使用变量加权,要优于综合脆弱程度指数(CVI)。
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Is the coastal vulnerability index a suitable index? Review and proposal of alternative indices for coastal vulnerability to sea level rise

The Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) has been widely applied around the world. This study provides a review of the suitability of the variables and mathematical expression of the CVI and proposes a new Integrated Coastal Vulnerability Index (ICVI), comparing both indices for 4 study areas in the southern Caribbean. The ICVI assesses vulnerability to sea level rise by integrating the Environmental Vulnerability Index (EVI) and the Socioeconomic Vulnerability Index (SVI). Regarding the variables that constitute the indices, it is noted that the CVI includes vulnerability and hazard variables and therefore it should be considered a risk index rather than a vulnerability index. The EVI includes geomorphological vulnerability variables, like the CVI, but also ecological ones. Regarding the mathematical expression, the use of the arithmetic mean versus the formula proposed for the CVI is discussed based on the comparison of the results obtained for EVI and SVI in the 4 study areas. In addition, the use of absolute (between 0 and 1) or relative (based on percentiles) limits in these indices, and the use of weights or not, are also discussed. The conclusion is that the use of relative thresholds necessarily forces the identification of very low to very high vulnerability zones for any study, and the use of weights on the variables increases the subjectivity of the assessment, all of which impedes the comparability of the index at a global level. Therefore, the ICVI, with the formula based on the arithmetic mean, with absolute limits between 0 and 1 and without variable weightings, is preferable to the CVI for use at the global level.

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来源期刊
Geo-Marine Letters
Geo-Marine Letters 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Geo-Marine Letters is an international peer-reviewed journal focussing on the rapid publication of concise original studies and reviews dealing with processes, products and techniques in marine geology, geophysics, and geochemistry. Coverage spans - structural geology, including plate tectonics of recent active and passive margins - sea-bed morphology, physiography and morphodynamics - sediment transport, depositional processes and sedimentary facies analysis - stratigraphy, basin analysis and paleoenvironmental reconstruction - sea-level history, paleoproductivity, gas hydrates, salt domes and brines - sediment-water interaction and organism-sediment relationships - geochemical tracers, stable isotopes and authigenic mineral formation - geotechnical properties and application of new geo-marine techniques, and more. In addition to regular articles, reviews, discussion/reply articles and technical papers, Geo-Marine Letters welcomes contributions by guest editors in the form of conference/workshop proceedings, or bundles of papers dealing with specific themes.
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