信任是关键:八个国家对气候变化错误认识的决定因素

W. Ejaz, Sacha Altay, Richard Fletcher, Rasmus Kleis Nielsen
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摘要

科学已经证实了气候变化的人为性质,但与气候相关的错误信息却依然盛行,破坏了公众的理解,阻碍了集体行动。令人震惊的是,现有关于气候变化误导信息的研究过多地集中在WEIRD(西方国家、受教育国家、工业化国家、富裕国家和民主国家)国家。为了超越这一点,我们的在线调查(N = 8541)包括北美(美国)、西欧(法国、德国、英国)和东亚(日本)的高收入国家,以及南美的中高收入国家(巴西)和南亚的中低收入国家(印度和巴基斯坦)。通过研究新闻媒体的使用、信息来源和对这些来源的信任之间的相互作用,我们进一步了解了在不同的社会文化背景下,这些因素是如何影响人们对气候变化相关错误信息的信念的。我们发现,在不同国家,决定人们相信气候变化错误信息的最主要因素是:被认定为右翼(与左翼相比);线下新闻消费较少;对科学家、环保活动家以及国际组织的信任度较低;对政客、名人和能源公司的信任度较高。总体而言,对气候变化信息来源的信任和人口统计学变量对相信气候变化误传的预测作用要比报告的新闻消费(在线、离线或社交媒体)强得多。这些发现表明,信任是了解人们是否相信气候变化虚假信息的关键。
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Trust is key: Determinants of false beliefs about climate change in eight countries
Science has established the human-caused nature of climate change, yet the prevalence of climate-related misinformation persists, undermining public understanding and impeding collective action. Strikingly, existing research on belief in misinformation about climate change has disproportionately focused on WEIRD (Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, and Democratic) countries. To move beyond this, our online survey (N = 8541) includes high-income countries in North America (US), Western Europe (France, Germany, UK) and East Asia (Japan), as well as an upper-middle income country in South America (Brazil) and lower-middle income countries in South Asia (India and Pakistan). By examining the interplay of news media usage, information sources, and trust in these sources, we advance our understanding of how these factors influence belief in climate change-related misinformation in diverse socio-cultural contexts. Across countries, we found that the strongest determinants of belief in misinformation about climate change were identifying as right-wing (compared with left-wing), consuming less offline news, having less trust in scientists, environmental activists, as well as international organizations, and having more trust in politicians, celebrities, and energy companies. Overall, trust in sources of information about climate change and demographic variables were much stronger predictors of belief in misinformation about climate change than reported news consumption (online, offline or on social media). These findings suggest that trust is key to understanding belief in false information about climate change.
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